Timeform UK SmartPlays: Monday 23 September

Sandown finish
There is Flat racing from Kempton on Monday evening

Timeform pick out their best back, lay, and smart stat bets on Monday...

"...he is expected to record a third career win back on the all-weather..."

Timeform on Edaraat

Back
Today Power - 18:30 Kempton

Today Power showed plenty of improvement when only just failing to peg back Now I'm A Believer on nursery bow at Chepstow 11 days ago and, open to more progress than that rival now, he is fancied to turn the tables on 1 lb better terms. The well-bred Grimsthorpe Castle looks a likely improver now handicapping so is one to note with Oisin Murphy booked.

Lay
Whistler Bowl - 20:30 Kempton

Whistler Bowl was sent off the odds-on favourite for a handicap at Goodwood last time and was beaten only by a less-exposed rival who put it all together, so she is likely to be popular in the market once more. In the shape of Cochise though, he meets another relatively unexposed type who could improve further now making his all-weather debut, so a lay bet is suggested on Whistler Bowl.

Smart Stat
Edaraat - 19:00 Kempton

23% - Roger Varian's strike rate at KEMPTON PARK since the start of the 2015 season

Edaraat made a mockery of his opening mark when winning over C&D in July and he duly followed up at Redcar from a 9 lb higher mark on his next start. He shaped better than the bare result when only ninth in a useful contest at York last time, too, racing wide and in the rear and making his effort away from the principals. There is almost certainly more to come from him, and he is expected to record a third career win back on the all-weather.

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