Timeform UK SmartPlays: Monday 16 December

Horses jumping fence
There is jumps racing from Ffos Las and Plumpton on Monday

Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bets on Monday...

"...the four-year-old weight allowance he gets here identifies him as the clear one to beat on Timeform ratings..."

Timeform on Flaminger

Flaminger - 14:50 Plumpton

Flaminger was outclassed by Lisp on his chasing debut here two weeks ago, but he still shaped very well in his own right, making some late headway under considerate handling to take second. Connections have understandably wasted little time in making the switch to handicaps, and the four-year-old weight allowance he gets here identifies him as the clear one to beat on Timeform ratings, especially with further improvement on the cards now up in trip. The frustrating Vicenzo Mio likely has a race in him again soon and could be the danger.

Chez Castel Mail - 13:00 Ffos Las

Admittedly, it isn't a strong maiden hurdle in which Chez Castel Mail makes his belated reappearance, but he could still be worth opposing at what look likely to be very short odds. He was a fairly useful bumper performer in 2016/17, but the 996 days he has since spent on the sidelines suggest he hasn't been the easiest to train, and, with conditions likely to be very testing, he can't afford to arrive here shy of peak fitness. Preference is for Jac Brown, who achieved a fair level of form in bumpers (including a win at this venue) and has race fitness on his side having blown the cobwebs away at Cheltenham recently.

Smart Stat
Hard To Forget - 13:45 Plumpton

£37.13 - Henry Oliver's profit to a £1 level stake with only one runner on the card (chases)

Henry Oliver has an excellent record when sending only runner to a meeting, making Hard To Forget of definite interest when lining up on this afternoon's card at Plumpton. The six-year-old proved better than ever when opening his chase account from 9 lb lower at Hereford last month, staying on strongly in the closing stages to win by seven lengths, and he looks sure to mount a bold follow-up bid if arriving in the same sort of form, with the prospect of even better to come after only two starts over fences.

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