A raft of non-runners ruined the price on Alan Dudman's winning tip Absolutely So at Salisbury yesterday, but he's back with three more selections to kick-off a new week...
"Of course he could easily win, but the absence and the field means we can at least have a few running for us, which sets up a lay in-running to limit the damage."
Trainer Jonathan Portman's horses have been running OK this month (no more than that), and he saddles Russian Remarque at Windsor on Monday.
Firstly this isn't a deep race. A couple in the line-up are old veterans (well you can't get young veterans) and they are opposable. Plus the market had a rather open-looking feel to it overnight.
The 'double R' is at least unexposed (with just eight runs), with not many tries at the trip. This race could be slightly easier than his last outing, plus he has performed with a bit of credit in a pair of 0-70s, hopefully he'll give us a good run at 9/2.
19:40 Nottingham - Lay Hanno
The Colwick Park card looked far from easy, plus with the forecast softer going, there could be an angle in to the four-runner handicap.
I weighed up putting in Sweet Martoni as the win selection, as being a front-runner she could get the lead she craves here. And those forcing the pace have being doing really well over Nottingham's 10f this term.
Sweet Martoni likes soft ground, and is fine over the trip so from a mark of 70 she is a runner. But with Calm Attitude in the line-up as a certain stayer and likely to enjoy conditions, there's enough to be against short-priced favourite Hanno here.
Ed Dunlop's charge finally broke his maiden tag last time at Brighton in heavy ground, but he's only scored once from 12 outings with a host of seconds and thirds. He wouldn't be as a strong in the stamina stakes as the other two (although it could be a tactical race), but he's a short enough price to lay.
20:20 Windsor - Lay Think Ahead
The Godolphin runner Think Ahead is likely to be fairly short in the market, but he's coming back from 591 days off the track. His form is useful from a pair of maidens, but some good yards are represented here - with the likes of Sir Michael Stoute, Roger Charlton, Andrew Balding and Brian Meehan.
I was tempted to lay King Of Country at Carlise (another Godolphin runner) but he's got virtually nothing to beat. Where as Think Ahead could well have more on his plate.
Of course he could easily win, but the absence and the field means we can at least have a few running for us, which sets up a lay in-running to limit the damage.
Monday's Recommended Bets
Back Russian Remarque @ 9/2 in the 17:50 at Windsor (price on Sportsbook)
Lay Hanno @ 2.407/5 in the 19:40 at Nottingham
Lay in-running Think Ahead @ 1.402/5 in the 20:20 at Windsor
Weekly P /L (one point each bet excluding advised in-running trades)
Previous seven day P/L + 3.53
Total: +11.32 pts