York Ebor Meeting Day 2 Tips: Head straight to El Vip on the Knavesmire

It may not be straight-forward for Enable in the Yorkshire Oaks
It may not be straight-forward for Enable in the Yorkshire Oaks

Tony Calvin returns with his best bets for the second day of the Ebor meeting and thinks it might not be plain sailing for Enable in the Yorkshire Oaks...

"He has scraped in at the bottom of the weights and off his lowest mark for over two years – in fact he races off the same mark as when beating So Beloved at Thirsk in April 2015 – and he rates a bet at 15.014/1 or better"

Tony Calvin

We love a bit of weather chat in England, and all hell broke loose on Twitter when it started raining at 10.15am at York on Wednesday morning. Oh, what fun we had.

To be serious, it does make putting up bets for the following day a bit tricky, and it is best to proceed with more caution than usual with my tips - stop laughing at the back, please - but I am working on the assumption of good ground, so it probably really isn't an issue.

I will take the card in chronological order and quickly gloss over the opener at 13:55. The top three in the market are all pretty obvious and priced accordingly, and I couldn't get particularly excited about any of the rest in what looks a devilishly difficult contest. Pass.

I won't waste your time with the Lowther Stakes at 14:25 either, though if the ground isn't too bad then I think Actress is probably the bet at 4/1 or bigger if it's on offer. Her third against the colts in the Phoenix Stakes last time is the best form on offer here and she should be favourite, though connections do think she wants fast ground.


Easterby can have the last word


Fear not, as we are going in two-handed in the near-1m handicap at 15:00, and I am going to side with an old favourite, and one who let me down at Ascot.

Actually, I don't think I've ever tipped One Word More when he has copped - not surprising maybe given he is 3 from 38 - but that could all change here.

He has scraped in at the bottom of the weights and off his lowest mark for over two years - in fact he races off the same mark as when beating So Beloved at Thirsk in April 2015 - and he rates a bet at 15.014/1 or better.

He has run some of his better races here, and off much higher marks too, and he comes here on the back of a good fifth at Goodwood last time.

He can be frustrating and get going all too late, but good to firm or good to soft is fine for him, and he is weighted to go in again. Let's hope win number four beckons.

El Vip may not even run if there is any more rain - one of his poorer runs came on good to soft ground - but this horse is thought capable of rating a lot higher than his present level of 99, which he was upped to after a fluent Newcastle win in June. Back him at 12.011/1 or bigger as a saver.

He went off at 9/1 in the Hunt Cup but could never get into the race at any stage from his midfield draw - the race was dominated by those berthed on the stands rail - and that run is a complete write-off.

At a bigger price in a lesser race, he is worth a secondary nibble. The first-time cheekpieces make Blair House an interesting proposition - Charlie Appleby is 10 from 30 with this headgear since the start of 2016 - but I draw the line at having two bets in a here. In this column, anyway.

I wouldn't rule out a shock in the Yorkshire Oaks at 15:35, and Enable at 1.351/3 certainly isn't floating my boat.

The problem is that her two main opponents, Nezwaah and Queen's Trust, could both have done without Tuesday's rain, so this is yet another no-bet race, sorry.


Curlew River can continue upward curve


I am going to go outside of my terrestrial brief to look or further bets and I am focusing on Curlew River against the favourite Mori in the 16:15. Back her win and place at 8.07/1 and 2.68/5, or bigger, respectively.

Mori is obviously the horse to beat - with More Mischief the next most likely winner - but she has been off the track since finishing second in the Ribblesdale two months ago, and she could be vulnerable after that lay-off. She doesn't do anything quickly, either.

No such worries with the selection, who underlined a very progressive profile when winning easily off a mark of 86 over 1m4f at Brighton a fortnight ago and, if she can see off the pace attentions of some lesser-rated rivals early on (and two or three of these do like to go on, as well), she could prove hard to reel in. She also ran well with some ease in the ground on her debut.

I was toying with putting up Cristal Fizz in the lucky last, mainly because she is fairly handicapped on her European Classic runs and wears first time cheekpieces, with whom William Haggas is 7 from 22 since the start of 2016, with five seconds to boot, as well.

But the price is nothing special and I'll be keeping my powder relatively dry at York on Thursday.


Recommended Bets

Back One Word More at 15.014/1 in 15:00 at York
Back El Vip at 12.011/1 in 15:00 at York
Back Curlew River at 8.07/1 win and 2.6613/8 place, or bigger, in 16:15 at York

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