Saturday Racing Tips: Queensberry Rules to deliver knockout blow at Newmarket

Queensberry Rules runs at Newmarket on Saturday afternoon
Queensberry Rules runs at Newmarket on Saturday afternoon

Betfair tipster extraordinaire Tony Calvin takes a look at Saturday's racing and presents a few horses well worth backing, not least Queensberry Rules in the 15:50 at Newmarket...

"The third bet of the day is equally straightforward. Back Secret Witness at 12.011/1 or bigger in the 15:30 at Haydock.

He would have gone close to winning this race two seasons ago had he not blown the start, and he comes here in the form of his life after a close third in the Portland last time."

Ryan Moore is on fire at the moment - if Sir Mark Prescott reckoned George Duffield had an "electric arse", the three-times champion jockey's derriere is currently glowing nuclear - and many people are talking him up again for the jockeys' title.

Of course, with Moore banging in the winners and Richard Hughes enduring a relatively lean spell, even with a Fillies Mile win under his belt today, and with a ban to serve next week, there is a sense that it's game on again - and I sympathise with the Betfair punter(s) who have backed the Irishman at 1.011/100 on Betfair for the title - but I would urge a bit of caution myself.

Things change of course, results may dictate all in the coming weeks, and I doubt that anyone will get Moore to engage in title talk.

But I don't detect that he is consciously gearing up for a dedicated shot at a fourth riding crown just yet. And remember that his end-of-season schedule last year included a trip to the Breeders' Cup, Melbourne Cup and Japan, and if you are betting on the title you should probably bear that in mind. Ryan tends to be a quality, not quantity, man.

He is currently around a 4-1 chance on Betfair's title market at the time of writing, but hopefully he will be a bit shorter after steering Queensberry Rules to victory in the Cambridgeshire at 15:50 on Saturday afternoon.

Back him at 15.014/1 or better. But be aware that there will probably be a fair rule 4/reduction factor if the well-handicapped, but soft ground-loving, duo of Ascription and Top Notch Tonto pull out if there isn't any rain.

I was going to put up King George River alongside my main recommendation in this big handicap, but the price shortened too much through the afternoon, so Jack's Revenge is my new, if not completely trusty, back-up. But I will start with Queensberry Rules, as I really do fancy his chances. A lot.

He has always been well regarded by the William Haggas yard - connections' comments after his debut win at Kempton in April told you as much - and he has since gone on to prove himself a classy handicapper with a third in the Britannia at Royal Ascot.

And he really caught my eye when sixth at York last time, not getting the run of the race but sticking on well to finish sixth in that 1m handicap.

He shaped as though this 1m1f trip could be right up his strasse, and it is very interesting to see that masterful trainer Haggas - perhaps the best placer of a horse in the business - has stuck a tongue tie on. The horse, not him. That suggests that he may have had a wind issue, and if it does the trick then I think he could have a very well-handicapped horse on his hands. 

I expect a very big run from him, and I just hope that a midfield draw in 18 doesn't prove too much of a negative.

Jack's Revenge is also worth chancing at odds of 22.021/1 or bigger. George Baker has his string in great form and 5lb claimer Oisin Murphy needs no further bigging-up here.

Jack's Revenge finished 8th in this race last year and comes here in good form, his fourth at Goodwood last time particularly eye-catching. He is tricky, but expect him to be bursting through late. 

I wouldn't put anyone off Dover's Hill in the 14:50 at Market Rasen. Particularly as I am tipping it.

He is only 1lb higher than when winning on his penultimate start at Sandown, and the switch to Nigel Twiston-Davies from Mary Hambro suggests that a 518 day absence shouldn't be any problem fitness-wise. In fact, that alone is reason for the interest.

He rates a bet at 7.06/1 or bigger.

The third bet of the day is equally straightforward. Back Secret Witness at 12.011/1 or bigger in the 15:30 at Haydock.

He would have gone close to winning this race two seasons ago had he not blown the start, and he comes here in the form of his life after a close third in the Portland last time. A 2lb rise for that race is fair enough, and he looks a very solid proposition indeed in this 17-runner 5f handicap.

Recommended Bets

Back Queensberry Rules in the 15:50 at Newmarket at 15.014/1 or bigger
Back Jack's Revenge in the 15:50 at Newmarket at 22.021/1 or bigger
Back Dover's Hill in the 14:50 at Market Rasen at 7.06/1 or bigger
Back Secret Witness in the 15:30 at Haydock at 12.011/1 or bigger

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