Saturday Racing Tips: A decent bet to be had at Kempton in our View

Channel 4 will be showing the action from Kempton
Channel 4 will be showing the action from Kempton

Tony Calvin takes a good look at Saturday's card on the flat at Kempton where he finds a pair to back ...

"This is only Viewpoint's third start for Appleby and, off the same mark and up in trip - and he has run well on this surface and track before, too, when trained by Richard Hannon - he looks a likely sort in a competitive race. In fact, he looks my bet of the day."

The transition from National Hunt to Flat racing is nearly upon us - just a certain Grand National to come and the season-ender at Sandown at the end of April - and tomorrow's Channel 4 all-weather card at Kempton is arguably more bet-inducing than the jumps action at Haydock.

So that is where we will start and official ratings suggest that we should be concentrating on three horses in the Magnolia Stakes at 14:15, and I am inclined to agree.

Arguably the most interesting of the trio is Windshear, who has never quite delivered on the abundant promise of his three-year-old campaign, which included a fourth to Kingston Hill in the St Leger, though he did look set for a profitable campaign when winning on his reappearance over 1m4f at Doncaster last March.

However, despite some good runs subsequently, he ended an in-and-out season with two very moderate efforts, and those wayward performances probably prompted connections to geld him.

So he has his first start since experiencing what they call the "cruellest cut" here and he also goes exceptionally well when fresh too, so this may be the best time to catch him. There are obvious doubts, and this is his first outing around here, but he is worth a small interest at 5.04/1 or bigger.

The unexposed Restorer and recent Kempton winner Our Channel are probably safer betting conveyances to be honest, particularly the latter who is fit and in form, but Windshear would outclass these at his best.

Clearly, this 1m2f trip is a bare minimum for him, but if he is more tractable after the gelding operation I think connections would be wise to consider making the running on him in a race where is not a lot of obvious early pace.

In the Rosebery at 14:50, Viewpoint looks to be worth an interest at 11.010/1.

Even though he has won over 1m4f, I am not entirely sure that he stays that trip, and this 1m3f is probably as far as he wants to go. And be ridden patiently to get it, too.

But this has all the hallmarks of a long-term Mick Appleby plan as his new charge has warmed up for this 45k race with recent runs over inadequate trips at Wolverhampton, most notably last time out when a close fourth over an extended 1m1f.

This is only his third start for Appleby and, off the same mark and up in trip - and he has run well on this surface and track before, too, when trained by Richard Hannon - he looks a likely sort in a competitive race. In fact, he looks my bet of the day.

Yeeow and Steelriver would be my two against the field in the 15:25, but happy to keep my powder dry there.

A lot of you will be betting on the Dubai World Cup tonight, and I doubt you will find a better assessment than that provided by Betfair ambassador Ryan Moore in his season-opening column on all of the Meydan races.


Recommended Bets
Back Windshear at 5.04/1 in the 14:15 at Kempton
Back Viewpoint at 11.010/1 in the 14:50 at Kempton



Read Tony's thoughts on racing at Haydock on Saturday here

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