Satruday Racing Tips: A quartet of selections for a high quality day

Will you be amongst the winners on a top quality day of racing on Saturday?
Will you be amongst the winners on a top quality day of racing on Saturday?

There are plenty of top quality races on the box on Saturday afternoon and our man Tony Calvin has selected a quartet of big-price tips for you to consider...


- Back Viva Ma Fille @ 11.010/1 in 14:30 at Haydock
- Back Still On Top @ 34.033/1 or bigger in 15:05 at Haydock
- Back Zhui Feng @ 10.09/1 in 15:25 Goodwood
- Back Bogart @ 12.011/1 in 15:50 at York

There is a plethora of high-class action wherever you look on Saturday with Haydock, York, Goodwood, Newmarket and the Curragh taking place - I felt like adding in, "Everyone Talk about Pop Muzik" after listing all those - and pride of place goes to the Irish 2,000 Guineas, , in which Galileo Gold aims to follow up his impressive Newmarket win.

In truth, I don't have a strong opinion in the Classic, but I would rather back Galileo Gold at 2.747/4 than Newmarket disappointment Air Force Blue at 3.711/4, if that helps at all.


***


Anyway, let's crack on with the domestic action - keep a keen eye on the going all around the country as there is a lot of rain about, it seems - and let's start with Goodwood.

The Listed race at 14:15 is fascinating because it sees the return of two well-regarded horses coming back after long absences in Berkshire and Kings Fete.

Berkshire is clearly a fragile horse but he is high-class on his day and can number a Royal Ascot win, and Group 2/3 successes from just his five starts. And Kings Fete must have been showing his trainer plenty to be kept in training as a 5yo gelding.

It wouldn't surprise me if either were to win, and the current market-leader Decorated Knight is very beatable to these eyes, but no bet here.


***


The same is also true of Mount Logan in the 14:50, who I expect to follow in the footsteps of his stablemates Postponed, Barsanti, Appeared and King Bolete in making a winning debut for the stable since the owner switched all his horses from Luca Cumani in the close-season.

He is no more than a fair price, though, and you could fashion a case of sorts for four of his five opponents, most obviously Mr Singh, though any more rain would see Bateel come into the reckoning, too. She is thought to be best on soft ground.


***


There are some very likely sorts in the £100k handicap AT 15:25 so it will take plenty of winning.

Oh This Is Us is towards the top of the market but he is up 9lb for his Newmarket win and I would be far keener on a few others.

Haalick was given far too much to do on All-Weather Finals day and is fairly handicapped on 101; Vintage Stakes disappointment Strong Challenge is likely to be nibbled at in a first-time hood off what could be a fair mark; Turbine makes a quick reappearance after his Newcastle win on Tuesday; and perhaps dangerous of all is Noble Peace, having his first start since gelding when beating a subsequent winner. He is a player.

But I think Zhui Feng is the horse to beat at odds of 10.09/1.

He was raised 7lb for an excellent, narrow comeback third over this trip at Newmarket last month - both the winner and second have won since - and I thought he ran a great race in the Guineas last time, when beaten just under 10 lengths. He was only around a length behind subsequent French Guineas runner-up First Selection there.

He very much shaped as if a step back down to this trip would suit that day, even if sticking on pretty well after being in the firing line up until 2f out, and I strongly suspect that a mark of 100 underestimates him on his handicap debut. Mind you, it will need to.


***


There seems to be some dispute about what going we can expect at Haydock on Saturday, with the current official going description of good to firm seemingly at odds with the GoingStick, which suggests good to soft.

Connections of Meccas Angel will certainly be hoping that the GoingStick, and unsettled forecast, proves correct as that would make her an even bigger certainty in the Temple Stakes at 16:10.

I say certainty, though that is obviously pushing it a bit - she is a 3.185/40 chance, after all - but she has everything in her favour and I am not particularly inclined to back or oppose her at the price.

The best thing that you can do as a punter is to make your own tissue before the bookmakers price up, and what we try to do on Thursday's "Betting Lab" on RUK is put in guide prices as to what odds we think horses will be priced up.

And yesterday I said that Interception would possibly be installed around a 5-2 chance in the 15:40, and I thought I was being optimistic.

As it happens, that is exactly the price she opened up on Thursday night and I have seen far worse bets, to be honest. In fact, odds of around 3.55/2 or bigger would be generous in a field where it is hard to fancying much against her.

She is the best horse in the race, was second in this contest last year before improving to win the Wokingham, and is effective on any ground. But the form of the stable is a slight question mark for me.

They had a very impressive winner at Kempton on Wednesday night but they have only had 12 runners this season, and had a disappointment at Sandown on Thursday. I do think she will take a lot of beating, though.


***


I put up Viva Ma Fille at Newmarket last week, and connections pre-race fears that she would need the race proved correct when she dropped away tamely after cutting out the running.

So, dropped 2lb, I am willing to give her another chance in the 14:30 after that blow-out at odds of 11.010/1.

The step back up to 2m will be no problem for a horse that finished fourth in the Queen's Vase and fifth in the Goodwood Cup, and she is a tough sort who takes her racing well. Indeed, she backed up well within a week last season when second at Musselburgh.


***


Chief Whip is the correct favourite in the Silver Bowl at 15:05 and Zodiakos is another horse I like towards the top of the betting. But Still On Top screams out at me at 34.033/1 or bigger.

He has a far less sexy profile than a lot of these but Tim Easterby has his horses in good form - Kenny The Captain also won for them earlier today at Carlisle - and his colt is fairly-handicapped off 94.

That is 2lb lower than at Chester last time - the handicapper often ignores a run there, so that's a bonus - and that puts him on a fair racing weight judged on his Two Year Old Trophy fourth at Redcar or his subsequent fourth to a progressive sort in a 1m Listed race at Pontefract.


***


Over at York, favourite Moonrise Landing is much the likeliest winner of the 14:40 and is a fair-enough price at around 2-1.

But I like Bogart far better at 12.011/1 in the 15:50.

The case for him is simple, short and, hopefully, sweet. He has dropped down to a very winnable mark, and I think the reversion to 5f on a track he loves on decent ground are his ideal conditions. That's it really. Shore Step looks a big danger, though.

Walpole and Appeared could be well ahead of their handicap marks in the 15:15 but the betting reflects that. If you are looking for one at a bigger price then Buonarroti in a first-time visor is your man, but I'll sit this one out.


Recommended Bets

Back Viva Ma Fille @ 11.010/1 in 14:30 at Haydock
Back Still On Top @ 34.033/1 or bigger in 15:05 at Haydock
Back Zhui Feng @ 10.09/1 in 15:25 Goodwood
Back Bogart @ 12.011/1 in 15:50 at York


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