It's a big day in flat racing and Tony Calvin fancies a horse with a big name to impress at a big price in the Cambridgeshire...
"John Gosden wouldn't be supplementing Tendu in here for £20,000 unless he was confident she could hold her own."
Well, at the time of writing at least, I have survived the first 24 hours of the Jolly Boys' Las Vegas outing, though now I have written that line it is not a big price that I will be belting out "Down to Margate" after a few drinks this morning in homage to that classic Only Fools And Horses episode.
I meant this evening, obviously...
Luckily, the Bellagio is a touch plusher than the Villa Bella where Del, Rodney and Albert had to spend the night in Margate after their coach blew up, though I think the internet cafes in Margate - if they exist - wouldn't get away with charging me $1 a minute for online access, the going rate in this Business Center.
And I can't even find a cocktail waitress in here to try and soften the blow.
But needs must, and it means that at least one of these selections is going to have to cop to pay the internet bill.
There is little doubt that Tiggy Wiggy is one of the better juvenile fillies in recent seasons, as a mark of 117 already underlines.
And it is hard to pick faults in her claims. Her Newbury win was breathtaking and she put any 6f stamina doubts to bed when beating the subsequent Moyglare winner Cursory Glance and Anthem Alexander in the Lowther last time.
But her price reflects that and this is by far her stiffest task to date - I personally would have her let her run free in the Abbaye over 5f rather than coming here - and indeed she is 3lb worse off the York third Anthem Alexander, for starters.
However, the two that fascinate me against her are Andre Fabre's High Celebrity and Tendu. Apparently the French maestro holds his filly in the highest regard, but Tendu just gets my vote at odds of 9.08/1 or better in the Cheveley Park at 15:10.
She didn't cut much ice on her debut but she was visually stunning in a runaway maiden win at Kempton last time.
Okay, the bare form of that race is nothing special, but the time was, as she broke the course record. And John Gosden wouldn't be supplementing her in here for £20,000 unless he was confident she could hold her own.
Sometimes you have to go with a gut feel - although the clock doesn't lie, we are told - and I think the well-related Tendu has top-class 2yo written all over her.
The Royal Lodge at 14:35 has cut up a fair bit and to be perfectly honest it makes limited punting appeal..
Nafaqa is the obvious one to beat - though no doubt Qatar Racing would beg to differ having splashed their considerable cash once again by buying recent Salisbury scorer Elm Park - as you don't need me to tell you that his Doncaster victory was franked, and then some, by the runner-up's Mill Reef win last week.
But I am not sure about that Doncaster form - the third is no great shakes and the favourite in fourth was never really travelling and was only beaten 1 ½ lengths in the end - and if I was playing I would probably side with impressive Doncaster nursery winner Salateen.
I am not a massive fan of nurseries - there are just too many unexposed horses to get a confident handle on these 2yo handicaps - and the 14:00 is predictably difficult to call.
Obviously, the Cambridgeshire at 15:50 is no less easier to call but I can fancy at least a couple in here, starting with Velox at odds of 12.011/1 or better.
Velox looked a handicapper going places when bolting up at Sandown on Eclipse day but he has failed to go from a 9lb higher mark on his last two starts.
However, there was a lot more promise in his third over 1m at Doncaster last time, and this strongly-run 1m1f looks sure to suit.
He already has form over 1m2f and this half-brother to Oaks third Volume is one of a number in with a decent chance at decent odds. There could be a lot more to come from him judged on that emphatic Sandown win.
Trust me, Bancnuanaheireann is not an easy horse to spell at the best of times, let alone now - and I won't be doing it again - but I think there are plenty of reasons to back him at odds of 26.025/1 - though I have availed myself at significantly bigger.
Firstly, he won the Silver Cambridgeshire over track and trip last year, he has been slipping down in the weights of late - his most recent outing over an extended 1m2f at York was clearly too far for him - and the quickening ground is right up his strasse.
I thought that he shaped pretty well at York, and especially so over 1m at Ascot previously for his Japanese rider in a Shergar Cup race, and he is exactly the kind of tough, nugget, horse you need to grind it out in a race like this.
I haven't really got stuck into the National Hunt scene just yet, so I will give the two races at Market Rasen a swerve, thanks.
And, anyway, looking at this internet bill, I need a bloody drink.
Be lucky. Back next week. Hopefully.
Back Tendu at 9.08/1 or bigger in the 15:10
Back Velox at 12.011/1 or bigger in 15:50
Back Bancnuanaheireann at odds of 26.025/1 or bigger in the 15:50