Goodwood Day Two Tips: Medrano to stake his St Leger claim

Tony has a quartet of selections for day two of the Glorious Goodwood festival
Tony has a quartet of selections for day two of the Glorious Goodwood festival

Tony Calvin was very impressed with a recent Hamilton winner who he believes can go in again on Wednesday before going for the St Leger. Find out who our man is referring to and his other best bets for day two of the Glorious Goodwood festival...

"The runner-up, who re-opposes today, is a fair yardstick and I take a very positive view of the form. Better ground here won't be a concern, and this improver can stake a Classic claim with a convincing win."

Back Medrano at 4.57/2 in the 14:35

Goodwood, 14:35 - Medrano

As ever, I'll be honest. Goodwood's Wednesday card is not the most bet-inducing I have ever seen at a big meeting, but it's not often I get to back a horse at 7-2 that I make nearer a 2-1 poke, so that's a very good starting point.

I was in the RUK studio when Medrano bolted up at Hamilton last time and my immediate thoughts were "St Leger."

However, I couldn't do anything about it as he wasn't in Betfair's ante-post exchange market then - and none of the traditional bookmakers were quoting him either - but I managed to snaffle some 33-1 for Doncaster when he was eventually inserted.

So I have no hesitation in putting him up as a bet at 4.57/2 to win the Gordon Stakes at 14:35 as I made him more of a 2-1 poke in this field, and was surprised to see Irish Derby disappointment Highland Reel head the betting.

Put it this way - and no disrespect to David Brown, the opposite in fact - if he were trained by a Stoute or an O'Brien then he would be 2-1, and justifiably so. And I can see him following in the footsteps of Stoute's Conduit, and Sixties Icon, by winning this race en route to St Leger success.

He showed solid Group 3 form in four runs earlier in the season, including when third to Storm The Stars over 1m3f in the Cocked Hat here in May, but he stepped forward on those efforts with a hugely impressive win from Prince Gagarin in the soft at Hamilton last time.

The runner-up, who re-opposes today, is a fair yardstick and I take a very positive view of the form. Better ground here won't be a concern, and this improver can stake a Classic claim with a convincing win.

Goodwood, 14:00 - Teak

It sounds obvious but I am going to focus on guaranteed stayers in the 2m5f Goodwood Stakes at 14:00 as I think we can get blasé in these marathon tests by saying "oh, he gets 2m, so the extra 5f should be ok".

So I reined myself back from the initial temptation to tip both the fairly-treated Boite and Mawaqeet.

The former was given a ridiculously bad ride from the front at Royal Ascot and is handicapped to win races, but I am worried about his stamina, and the same is true of Mawaqeet.

I was most tempted by Mick Appleby's horse, as apparently he doesn't like the stalls and the flag start here will be to his liking. But on the three occasions he has raced over further than an extended 2m he has been beaten 36 lengths, 15 ½ lengths and 20 lengths. He may be running on empty in the closing stages.

Teak may not be original but he looks sure to run his race at odds of 14.013/1.

He is 16lb higher than when winning this race last season but he has fully deserved his hike up the handicap, after good efforts over 2m here and a third in the Queen Alexandra Stakes over this trip at Royal Ascot.

A third in a Market Rasen handicap hurdle earlier in the month was perhaps not the ideal preparation for this but he has mixed and matched well in the past - his 2014 Bath win came only 20 days after a Cartmel victory last summer - and he just looks rock solid.

Goodwood, 15:10

I wouldn't be in a mad rush to oppose Solow at 1.674/6 in what is a pretty disappointing Sussex Stakes at 15:10, in the strange absence of Gleneagles - why connections didn't at least enter him on Monday with a drying forecast is a mystery to me - and can't really see a tempting each-way play against him.

You could make a case for last year's Dewhurst winner Belardo at a double-figure price after a back-to-form fourth the Irish 2.000 Guineas last time but, on balance, it is a race that I am happy to swerve.

Goodwood, 15:45

And that is also the case with the Molecomb at 15:45 where Norfolk third King Of Rooks and Windsor Castle winner Washington DC rightly dominate the market. I can't see any betting edge in this one, so I will move swiftly on.

Goodwood, 16:55 - Imshivalla

In the non-C4 races, I can't get excited by the maiden at 16:20 but I am quite sweet on the chances of Imshivalla at 13.012/1 in the 16:55 from stall two.

She may be a lot more exposed than the likes of Forest Maiden and Tazffin but I'd counter and say that she has very solid form claims.

Hopefully, she can get away on terms and make the most of her good draw - she made all when winning over this trip at York last season - and if she does then she remains fairly treated after some excellent efforts of late.

She is only 1lb higher than when a good second to subsequent winner Wee Jean at Chester last time, and she looks set to run her race.

Goodwood, 17:25 - Bravo Echo

Bravo Echo is another worth a few quid at 15.014/1 in the last at 17:25.

He is a very straightforward selection in that this course and distance winner/regular clearly loves it here, is fairly drawn in nine to try and get on the lead, and bumped into a well-handicapped and well-backed horse in Crew Cur over 6f at Newmarket last time.

He remains fairly treated off a 3lb higher mark - he is 8lb higher on the all-weather - and may be primed to get back to winning ways on his favourite stomping ground.

Recommended Bets

Back Teak at 14.013/1 in the 14:00
Back Medrano at 4.57/2 in the 14:35
Back Imshivalla at 13.012/1 in the 16:55
Back Bravo Echo at 15.014/1 in the 17:25

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