Goodwood Day Three Tips: Rely on Scotland to shine in Sussex

Our resident tipster Tony Calvin has a trio of bets for day three at Glorious Goodwood
Our resident tipster Tony Calvin has a trio of bets for day three at Glorious Goodwood

Tony Calvin has a trio of selections for day three at Glorious Goodwood, including a promising stayer who caught the eye in the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot last time out...


"Indeed, he ran a good race to finish a close fifth in the Gordon Stakes here last season and he wouldn't have to improve much on his fifth at Newbury in April to figure here. And I think there is plenty more to come from him over staying trips."

Back Scotland at 13.012/1 in the 15:10

Goodwood, 15:10 - Scotland

Another very tricky day on the punting front but Scotland could have been found his optimum trip in the Goodwood Cup at 15:10 and he rates a fair bet at 13.012/1.

Anyone who saw him finishing so strongly from an impossible position to be beaten only 3 ½ lengths in the Gold Cup at Ascot last time could be forgiven for thinking that a step back down in distance was the last thing he needed.

But Jim Crowley won't make the same mistake of dropping him out too far again now he knows that he is on a guaranteed stayer, and one who has the pace to run creditably over 1m4f, too.

Indeed, he ran a good race to finish a close fifth in the Gordon Stakes here last season and he wouldn't have to improve much on his fifth at Newbury in April to figure here. And I think there is plenty more to come from him over staying trips.


Goodwood, 14:00

The 3yo handicap at 14:05 looks nigh on impossible to me, though I think Chester winner Racing History is likely to be all the rage despite a subsequent 8lb rise.

And who knows which Resonant will turn up? If it is the one who bolted up at Newmarket then they won't see which way he goes if he gets loose on the lead.

At bigger prices I would probably favour Scooner, who has course form and is back up in trip after disappointing last time, but not enough to part with the easy-earned.


Goodwood, 14:35

The Richmond Stakes at 14:35 hasn't got me reaching for the back button either but I wouldn't be in the least bit surprised were Newbury maiden winner Adventurous, who probably has the weakest form going into the race, improve enough to make his presence felt in this much higher grade.


Goodwood, 15:45 - Groovejet

Groovejet looks overpriced to me at odds of 21.020/1 in the Lillie Langtry Stakes at 15:45.

After a poor reappearance over an inadequate 1m2f, she was more like her old self when a good sixth off a mark in a 1m6f York handicap last time and I think she can record her first turf win - all her wins to date have been on three all-weather tracks - if stepping forward again.

If she returns to the form of her 2 ½ length fifth in this race last year then she won't be a million miles away and it is encouraging that Dave Morris, her new trainer this season, has recorded his first two wins (from only six runners) of the campaign in the past fortnight.


Goodwood, 16:20

Haggle and Notary set a fair form standard for the other unexposed horses to aim at in the 7f fillies' maiden at 16:20 but their odds are likely to reflect that. And betting in nurseries is not really my thing - it is pretty much a guessing game - and I won't be playing tomorrow, either.


Goodwood, 16:55 - My Amigo

But I have to admit that I was half-tempted by the once-raced My Amigo in the 16:55.

Knowing the way William Haggas operates I am sure this race has been on the agenda for the Al Shaqab-owned Melabi for a while, and Montsarrat is likely to keep it simple and bounce out in front, but if you are betting in the race then My Amigo is the one that interested me.

It is not because he is a once-raced maiden winner, or that the form of his 6f Newcastle win is working out so well (it isn't), it is because of the manner of the victory and the time it was achieved in.

He was prominent throughout and showed a tremendously willing attitude to see off the favourite in a fast time.

The stable have a fair set of juveniles this season, so it could be significant that they appear to rate this grey so highly. So off a decent opening mark of 78 and the step up to 7f very much expected to suit, I would definitely have him in your betting calculations if playing in this very tricky 18-runner contest.

Oh, what the hell, I have talked myself into a small bet myself, so I am putting him up at 17.016/1 or better.


Goodwood, 17:30

No punts in the concluding 5f handicap at 17:30 though my dart at the board, if asked to throw one, would be Union Rose at a price.

Be lucky.


Recommended Bets

Back Scotland at 13.012/1 in the 15:10
Back Groovejet at 21.020/1 in the 15:45
Back My Amigo at 17.016/1 in the 16:55


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