Goodwood Day Four Tips: Back this 18/1 shot for the Stewards Cup

Three plays from Glorious Goodwood for Tony on Saturday
Three plays from Glorious Goodwood for Tony on Saturday

Glorious Goodwood reaches its conclusion on Saturday and our man Tony Calvin has three fancies from the card as well as a selection from Newmarket...

I've no idea if you want to be drawn high or low in the Stewards Cup at 15:45 - and I suspect no-one else does either - so I am going straight down the middle and suggest backing Tatlisu at 19.018/1 from stall 16.

Anyone who saw Poyle Vinnie trounce him in soft ground at Hamilton last time may need some convincing that he can overturn the form with that rival, let alone the other 26 runners, but he has a 6lb pull with the winner and conditions will be very different today.

And that Hamilton run at least confirmed that Tatlisu was back in form after flopping in first-time blinkers in the Wokingham.

He had earlier been in great form in big-field 0-105 handicaps and he has some notable notches on his bedpost, having beaten Muthmir on fast ground at Newcastle last year, and he was only beaten two short heads in a photo for the Stewards Cup consolation race last season.

He may be too high in the handicap now but he looks to have more going for him than most, and at least George Chaloner has options from his midfield draw, too.

Suzi's Connoisseur got his final chance for me when a creditable fifth at Ascot last week but if anyone wanted to save on favourite Magical Memory then I couldn't put you off.

It is not really my kind of price in these races but he was ridiculously impressive at Newmarket last time, and only a 6lb penalty makes him very dangerous to all. In short, he is a very worthy favourite at around the 7/1 mark.


***


Rex Imperator firmly catches eye my in the consolation race at 14:00 for the ever-impressive David O'Meara. Odds of around 15.014/1 are very fair.

This horse won the Stewards' Cup by two-and-a-half lengths two seasons ago off a mark of 104 for William Haggas but lost his way soon after, and he has taken his find his form since joining O'Meara this season.

He eventually got his head in front at Thirsk last time off a mark of just 83, and it wouldn't be the biggest surprise in the world were that to herald the start of a miraculous return to form for his new handler, who has shown with the likes of Birdman again this season that he has no equals in revitalising jaded performers from other yards. Big Thunder was the most recent example of that.


***


You can't help but feeling the three-year-old staying fillies are all much of a muchness this season, so it is pretty hard to have a strong opinion in the Nassau Stakes at 15:10.

However, I wasn't expecting Arabian Queen to be offered at 26.025/1, so that forces my hand, albeit to small stakes.

A highly impressive all-the-way over an extended 1m first time up at Epsom, she has done remarkably well to run as creditably as she has done on her last two starts in Group 1 company over 1m considering how freely she has raced. And, with that in mind, it may seem strange that connections have upped her in trip the best part of 2f here.

So the onus will be on her jockey to get her settled out in front today. And if he does then her breeding gives her every chance of staying, as she is by Dubawi out of the stable's dual Lancashire Oaks winner Barshiba. She only has 5lb to find with the market leaders on official figures, too.


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I fancy a few in the three-year-old handicap at 14:35 but as most are towards the head of the market, I can't play .

In the non-C4 races at the end of the card I would favour Francisco in the 16:55, ,
and Illusive in the 18:00, but not enough to put up as a bet.

***


Over at Newmarket, I think Urban Castle is worth considering in first-time blinkers in the opener at 14:15.

She has always been a lazy sort by all accounts, and the new headgear could liven her up. In addition the blinkers (which replace cheek pieces), she can also boast some solid handicap form too, including over course and distance, and a reproduction of those efforts may be good enough as she tries her hand in listed company.

The 6f nursery at 14:50 looks an absolute nightmare of a race.

I was tempted to row in with a low-stakes personal punting strategy of mine - backing Jonathan Portman two-year-olds second time up (stop laughing at the back, please) - and put up Newbury debut winner Poster Girl off a mark of 78.

But while I expect her to come on a good deal for that run, she will need to as I think the Newbury form is modest - the time was average, and the runner-up was beaten at odds of 3-10 next time up - and it isn't hard to put up a handful against her.


Recommended Bets
Back Rex Imperator at 15.014/1 in the 14:00 at Goodwood
Back Urban Castle at 15.014/1 in the 14:15 at Newmarket
Back Arabian Queen at 26.025/1 in 15:10 at Goodwood
Back Tatlisu at 19.018/1 in the 15:45 at Goodwood

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