Glorious Goodwood Tips: Johnston colt has Somewhat of a great chance in Gordon Stakes

Will Mark Johnston win the Gordon Stakes with Somewhat?
Will Mark Johnston win the Gordon Stakes with Somewhat?

Day one of Glorious Goodwood saw Tony Calvin's blistering recent form continue with wins for his 14.013/1 and 12.011/1 advised selection Es Que Love and Van Percy. Can you afford not to read about the red hot tipster's four selections ahead of day two?

"If he runs to the Sandown form – and he could get an easy time on the lead here - then something is going to have to post a career-best to beat him."

Back Somewhat @ 5.39/2 or better - Goodwood 14:30

I'll admit straight away that a couple of Wednesday's races at Goodwood are not really my idea of 'punting glorious', with the showpiece race featuring a hard-to-oppose odds-on favourite, and a couple of trappy Group contests each featuring eight, largely unexposed, runners.

But there is still plenty to get my gnashers into on the card, so bear with me while I run through the two 'no bet' races.

The Sussex Stakes at 15:05 is undoubtedly the race of the day but it certainly isn't much of a betting contest, with an odds-on jolly in Kingman and Toronado, again the subject of blisteringly good homework reports, looks booked for second at worst.

In short, it looks a race to watch, rather than bet on, but I fully expect to see Kingman's turn of foot put Toronado et al to the sword. But unloading at around 1.51/2 is not my style.

It may be yours though, so good luck.

And punting in 2yo races where most of the horses are open to any amount of improvement is rarely my bag either, so that rules out the Vintage Stakes at 15:40, especially as my idea of the likeliest winner, Highland Reel, is a lot, lot shorter than I imagined he would be.

But I suppose that I shouldn't be too surprised that he is trading at around the 2.111/10 mark given that he won by 12 lengths at Gowran Park last time, and the distant third in that race came out and lowered the colours of the stable's highly-touted newcomer John F Kennedy next time.

I initially had the Gordon Stakes at 14:30 as a too-tricky-to-tip race. But then I saw Somewhat trading at 5.39/2 and bigger.

I was expecting him to be nearer a 3-1 chance. So we play.

I would be inclined to believe Somewhat's 100-1 third to Mukhadram in the Eclipse last time - remember, he was rated 112 as a juvenile - and his breeding, being by Dynaformer, gives him every chance of staying this extra 2f.

If he runs to the Sandown form - and he could get an easy time on the lead here - then something is going to have to post a career-best to beat him.

Maid in Rio clearly has a big chance in the opener at 13:55 carrying just a 3lb penalty for her easy all-the-way nine length win in a 2m handicap at Ascot last Friday.

But I doubt that she will be handed an uncontested time on the lead today - it really was after you Claudia (she is filly geddit?) at Ascot - and she does have her stamina to prove over this marathon trip. And she is very short in the betting at around 2.89/5, too.

So I am going to take her on with two guaranteed grinders in Lieutenant Miller and Brockwell, second and fifth in this race last year. Back them at odds of 9.08/1 and 13.012/1 respectively.

Lieutenant Miller was thought to need the run when running a fair comeback at Ascot last month and remains on a decent mark, while Brockwell arrested his decline with a good third at York last time and races off a 5lb lower mark than when beaten under four lengths in this last year.

It is not in my brief but I can't resist pointing you in the direction of Agent Allison at 26.025/1 or bigger in the 16:50 on RUK.

She clearly hasn't gone on since her ¾ length second to Maureen first time up in the Fred Darling last year, but I don't think that she has been getting home over 1m2f in her most recent races, even if shaping as if retaining all her ability on occasions, notably when fourth at Newmarket last October.

Back down to 1m1f on decent ground and from a mark of just 95 - she was rated 103 after that Newbury second - I think that she could just outclass this lot. And she has gone well when fresh in the past.

At 25-1+, I can't let her go unbacked.


Recommended Bets

Back Somewhat @ 5.39/2 or better - Goodwood 14:30
Back Lieutenant Miller @ 9.08/1 or better - Goodwood 13:55
Back Brockwell @ 13.012/1 or better - Goodwood 13:55

Back Agent Allison @ 26.025/1 or better - Goodwood 16:50


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