Glorious Goodwood Tips: Back Examiner to pass test in Thursday's opener

William Haggas trains Tony's fancy Examiner in the opener
William Haggas trains Tony's fancy Examiner in the opener

In-form tipster Tony Calvin fancies a few favourites on day three of Glorious Goodwood which isn't really his cup of tea, but our man still recommends a quartet of wagers for you to consider in the day's remaining races...

"There is no better placer of a horse than William Haggas and his horse comes here after two solid efforts off this mark at Sandown and Newmarket."

Back Examiner @ 14.013/1 or better - Goodwood 14:05

I am going to keep it shorter and sweeter than usual today - that'll be a relief to the sub-editor as I normally ramble on and file at least double my required word count - as I think Thursday could well be one for favourites.

And playing at short prices is not my game, nor the brief of this column.

Don't get me wrong, I'll play, and tip, a favourite if I think it is overpriced. But going in deep on market leaders at big meetings is not really my bag.

Take Ivawood in the Richmond Stakes at 14:35, for example. Now, many people will look at the ease of his July Stakes win at Newmarket last time and assume that backing this impressive-looking specimen is buying money at around 1.558/15. And they may be right.

But he faces eight pretty much totally unexposed horses, and I want to know everything about every horse in the race before I go in head-down at those kind of prices. And that plainly isn't the case here.

For example, if a Brian Meehan two-year-old wins first time up they are usually very decent, so Fox Trotter for one would worry me if I was playing at odds-on.

I am also finding it hard to see past Missunited in the Lillie Langtry at 15:45 and, in truth, prices around 3.02/1 are perfectly acceptable, as her Gold Cup third makes her the clear form choice.

The problem is that the price is no more than fair when you consider the German mare Nymphea is not that far off her on official ratings and how many times have we seen John Gosden pull a rabbit out of the hat when stepping up his maiden winners straight into Group company.

Stella Bellissima has to be respected, for all that her Newbury maiden win gives her the best part of two stones to find with the favourite.

I also think Estimate will win the Goodwood Cup at 15:10, but I would want a damn sight more than 3.185/40 before backing her to see off the likes of Cavalryman and Brown Panther.

Sometimes the best weapon in a punter's armoury is one that stays in its' holster, so I will let those three races go untouched. Unless, there is a major shift in the market, that is.

But if you wanted to put all the three favourites in doubles and trebles, I couldn't really argue.

With Top Tug a non-runner, impressive Haydock winner Roseburg is another favourite who will be all the rage in the opener at 14:05, and it is not hard to see why. He really did look the part at Haydock.

But the facts are that he is 8lb higher here, encountering the fastest ground he has faced in his career - though he actually finished last on quick ground on his debut - and I have to take him on.

Back Examiner and Donny Rover at odds of around 14.013/1 and 17.016/1 respectively.

There is no better placer of a horse than William Haggas and his horse comes here after two solid efforts off this mark at Sandown and Newmarket.

That would suggest that he is not handicapped to win a race of this competitive nature but I don't think that he was helped at all by being drawn on the outside at Newmarket last time, and a step up in trip on better ground could see him improve a fair bit.

I have a soft spot for Donny Rover, as I backed him when he was an outrageous winning drifter on his first start for Mick Appleby at Nottingham in April.

He is now 6lb higher but he ran well over 1m at Ascot last time and he now returns to the trip over which he ran last week's easy Newmarket winner Connecticut to a head at York in June. He looks rock solid.

I will weigh in with two bets on the card after Channel 4 have gone off air, though.

I think Ifwecan has a decent shot at odds of 12.011/1 or bigger in the 16:50 if he can bag the lead from stall one, though his stablemate in five, Almargo, may have something to say about that.

He wasn't able to dominate when disappointing at Ayr last time but his earlier second to Velox at Sandown reads very well.

And in the last at 17:25 I am going to chuck a few quid at Angelic Upstart at odds of 11.010/1 or bigger.

The case for him is straightforward. He gets 1m1f well, likes fast ground and has been dropped a generous 1lb after his third at Epsom last time. From a stable already on the board this week, he can pounce late from his wide draw.

Just checked word count - so much for short and sweet, sorry. Just hope the waffle was worth it!

Recommended Bets
Back Examiner and Donny Rover at 14.013/1 or better and 17.016/1 or better respectively in the 14:05 at Goodwood 
Back Ifwecan @ 12.011/1 or better in the 16:50 at Goodwood
Back Angelic Upstart @ 11.010/1 or better in the 17:25 at Goodwood

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