The Dante Festival comes to a close on Friday with the Yorkshire Cup the highlight and Tony Calvin has found a trio of bets for the final day in north Yorkshire...
"I think that the market has over-reacted to the drying ground, and I am going to give Cubanita a shot at odds of 9.08/1 or bigger in the Yorkshire Cup."
Friday's Channel 4 races at York look short on attractive betting opportunities to me, but I will row in with three small-stakes plays.
There are just too many unknowns to get stuck into the opener at 13:45.
If I were forced to play, then I would take a shot with Sarista, whose stable had a 2yo winner here on Wednesday.
And if you are backing her, then you have to check out the result of the first race at Newmarket tonight (or last night, depending on when you are reading this) as Realtra, the horse she beat by a short-head at Ripon, the pair 7 lengths clear, runs there.
The fillies' 1m listed race at 15:15 isn't much easier but I am going to take a chance with Midnite Angel in first-time blinkers.
Radiator is likely to be the well-backed favourite in this but Midnite Angel had some decent form at two, chasing home Fred Darling winner J Wonder in a nursery off a mark of 85, and then finishing second to 1,000 Guineas third Ihtimal in the Sweet Solera.
She didn't go on from there but ran a satisfactory race on her reappearance when second to Musidora fifth Queen Of Ice in a four-runner race at Kempton, and connections obviously feel the headgear will concentrate her mind more today.
But a strongly-run 1m back on turf should also suit, and she could go well at a big price. Back her at 15.014/1 or better.
The 14:15 also looked quite competitive at first glance but Arab Spring will be all the rage following a very impressive success at Doncaster last time.
He is held in high regard by connections - as evidenced by a Hardwicke entry - and I don't think defeat is envisaged here. But his current price reflects that and, on ground that could ride increasingly tacky, I can let him win backed, though I couldn't put anyone off him, as he really is very strongly fancied.
In fact, being the contrary sod that I am, I am going to take him on win and place with Amralah.
Amralah has already sidestepped one clash with Arab Spring this season, being withdrawn from the Doncaster race, and I thought that he would win on his belated reappearance at Newmarket.
But he pulled far too hard that day - I thought William Buick should have let him stride on - and in the circumstances he ran really well to finish third.
He could find Arab Spring a much better-handicapped rival, but I am going to pay to find out, and I will take out place insurance, too.
Back Amralah at 6.05/1 in the win, and at 2.3811/8 or bigger in the place market.
Judging from his Sagaro win, I think the strong-travelling Tac De Boistron will be nigh-on unbeatable in the top staying races this season given soft ground.
But he doesn't look likely to get his optimum conditions here, and it wouldn't surprise me were connections to pull him out. And the drying ground isn't in the interests of Seal Of Approval or Cubanita either, while it will be very much in Gospel Choir's favour.
But I think that the market has over-reacted to the drying ground, and I am going to give Cubanita a shot at odds of 9.08/1 or bigger.
She undoubtedly would prefer it softer but she won a 1m2f listed race on decent ground as a 3yo and it was officially good when she saw off dual subsequent winner Noble Mission on her reappearance at Newbury.
This race does have a lot of depth to it - Camborne also remains an exciting prospect - but she looks worth a little dabble. But keep stakes low today, as there will be better betting opportunities down the line.
Back Amralah @ 6.05/1 to win and 2.3811/8 to place in the 14:15 at York
Back Cubanita @ 9.08/1 or bigger in the 14:45 at York
Back Midnite Angel @ 15.014/1 or better in the 15:15 at York