Betfair Weekend Racing Tips: Big-priced fancies at Ascot

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Tony Calvin steps up to the plate one last time to round out Betfair Weekend, and he isn't shirking the value bet challenge pulling out a trio of horses trading at very attractive prices...

"In Judge N Jury we have a horse who is clearly suited by track and trip, on a fair mark, and who comes here after running well in a Group 3 at The Curragh last time. What's not to like? Apart from 20 rivals that is..."

Back Judge 'N Jury at [21.0] in the 17:20

Judge N Jury is currently trading at [21] on Betfair for the 17:20 at Ascot today and that looks too big to ignore.

He always seems to take part in this race, and he has performed pretty well, too. He was only beaten 2 lengths when 8th behind Taajub last year, was fourth to Medicean Man in 2011, and actually won this in 2009, beating Hamish McGonagall off this very mark.

So we have a horse who is clearly suited by track and trip, on a fair mark, and who comes here after running well in a Group 3 at The Curragh last time. What's not to like? Apart from 20 rivals that is...

Talented claimer Thomas Brown takes the ride.

I also like the look of Equitania in the 15:40 and I am surprised to see her trading at [17].

Granted, she has only beaten four horses home in her last three starts, but the handicapper has played ball and dropped her 6lb as a result.

And there was more promise in her fifth to Tax Free at Newmarket last time.

The trip is a slight concern - even though she has won over 6f, and even has form over 7f - as I think she is better over the minimum. But I don't think this race will take much winning, and she could make all from the front.

I don't know much about the 7lb claimer Tim Clark, but he has ridden a couple of winners in the last fortnight, including St Ignatius for the stable.

Can You Conga rates a big threat, though, and is worth a saver at [7] or bigger.

He made all to win at Doncaster in May but missed the start and could never get competitive at Pontefract last time, so he can easily be forgiven that run.

The form of that Doncaster win has worked out pretty well - the runner-up has gone in twice and won a handicap off 75 last time - so I suspect that he is fairly treated off 82. The Kevin Ryan yard is in fair nick too, having sent out three winners yesterday. 

I think Rawaki must go well in the 15:05 and I wouldn't put anyone off him, though personally I was hoping for a bit bigger than [5.7]. So no bet for me.

Recommended Bets
Back Judge 'N Jury at [21.0] in the 17:20
Back Equitania at [17.0] in the 15:40
Back Can You Conga at [7.0] in the 15:40
 

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