Today's Horse Racing Tips: Raffles can steal the race from the front at HQ

Newmarket racing June
Alan Dudman is backing three horses at Newmarket on Friday
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Alan Dudman looks at the Newmarket card for Friday and has three selections to follow at headquarters...

"Stamford Raffles is a quirky sort who likes to boss small fields, so we have the possibility of him leading, and there will be plenty of leeway to trade from his big price if he does."

Back Thaqaffa and Stamford Raffles both at BSP in the 16:50 at Newmarket

Make a date with Hannon's Wedding

14:45 Newmarket - Back Wedding Date @ BSP

Richard Hannon's Wedding Date looks a decent bet for the fillies' sprint at 14:45, and I can see her running a big race at around the [6.0] mark.

She's a bit better than the grade she'll face on Friday, which is why she looks bet material. The fact the handicapper has dropped her another 3lb down to 83 makes her well treated too. There's also the added bonus of the 5lb claim of apprentice Thore Hammer Hansen.

Dual 5f winner last summer and back to form with a cracking effort in 6f Windsor handicap last week, finding just a revitalised one too good. 3 lb lower and with good claimer up to boot now.

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Date Course/Class Pos Type Dist. Gng. HDGR WGT Jockey BSP
16/06/20 Windsor 2/10 Flat 6f 12y Good 9st 5lbs Pat Dobbs 24.62
07/06/20 Newmarket (Rowley) 8/9 Flat 5f Good 8st 13lbs Pat Dobbs 19.28
07/09/19 Ascot 10/15 Flat 5f Gd/frm 9st 5lbs Thore Hammer Hansen 15.05
24/08/19 York 6/19 Flat 5f Firm 8st 6lbs Thore Hammer Hansen 16.88
26/07/19 Ascot 3/14 Flat 5f Gd/frm 8st 7lbs Thore Hammer Hansen 31.17
16/07/19 Bath 3/5 Flat 5f 10y Firm 9st 7lbs Silvestre De Sousa 3.25
08/07/19 Windsor 3/6 Flat 5f 21y Gd/frm 9st 7lbs Thore Hammer Hansen 3.65
22/06/19 Newmarket (July) 1/7 Flat 5f Good 8st 6lbs Thore Hammer Hansen 7
15/06/19 York 11/22 Flat 6f Gd/sft 8st 6lbs Clifford Lee 53.9
25/05/19 Chester 6/9 Flat 6f 17y Good 9st 9lbs Jamie Gormley 7.32
17/05/19 York 1/14 Flat 5f Gd/frm 8st 13lbs Clifford Lee 29.01
27/04/19 Ripon 5/9 Flat 5f Good 9st 6lbs Rossa Ryan 6.23
21/01/19 Wolverhampton 2/8 Flat 5f 21y Std 9st 4lbs Rossa Ryan 11.5
05/01/19 Kempton Park 4/5 Flat 6f Slow 9st 7lbs Rossa Ryan 5.1
19/11/18 Kempton Park 1/11 Flat 6f Slow 9st 7lbs Clifford Lee 5.3
30/10/18 Catterick Bridge 2/11 Flat 5f Gd/sft 9st 4lbs Clifford Lee 10.2
06/10/18 Newmarket (Rowley) 14/28 Flat 6f Gd/sft 8st 10lbs Silvestre De Sousa 16.69
02/07/18 Pontefract 3/4 Flat 6f Gd/frm 8st 11lbs Silvestre De Sousa 3.6
09/06/18 Beverley 6/10 Flat 5f Gd/frm 8st 12lbs Pat Dobbs 5.09
24/05/18 Sandown Park 5/9 Flat 5f 10y Gd/sft 8st 12lbs Ryan Moore 14.5
10/05/18 Chester 1/9 Flat 5f 15y Good 9st 0lbs Silvestre De Sousa 13

Wedding Date likes quick ground and loves to run from off a fast pace as she usually finishes off well. A fine comeback at Windsor recently should put her spot on for this.

For a filly that won a 0-105 at York last term, this should be a bit easier.

Back two outsiders for Newmarket finale

16:50 Newmarket - Back Stamford Raffles and Thaqaffa @ BSP

There's a chance that the William Haggas-trained Shauyra could be overbet for this, and was priced up at 2/1 on the Sportsbook last night. But she was beaten by Glan Y Gors last time, and that isn't exactly top form.

That's why I am happy to play a couple in the same race at bigger odds, as Thaqaffa and Stamford Raffles were up at 16/1 and 14/1 when the race was priced up yesterday. Those odds were too big initially as both would have claims, so it was no surprise to see Raffles cut into 15/2. Both can be a bit tricky, so it could be worth using In-Play trading to get some of your money back.

Not the most reliable but scored twice last term and dispelled a tame return effort when close-up third over C&D last week, albeit idling markedly. Each-way claims with a repeat.

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Date Course/Class Pos Type Dist. Gng. HDGR WGT Jockey BSP
18/06/20 Newmarket (Rowley) 3/5 Flat 1m 4f Gd/sft 9st 6lbs Tim Clark 16.24
05/06/20 Newmarket (Rowley) 11/12 Flat 1m 4f Gd/frm 9st 1lbs John Egan 72.19
11/03/20 Kempton Park 10/10 Flat 1m 7f 218y Slow 9st 7lbs Tim Clark 57.1
16/02/20 Kempton Park 7/7 Flat 1m 3f 219y Slow 9st 2lbs George Rooke 26
31/01/20 Newcastle 2/7 Flat 1m 4f 98y Slow 9st 9lbs George Rooke 36
28/11/19 Lingfield Park 8/8 Flat 1m 2f Std 9st 4lbs Darragh Keenan 69.4
26/09/19 Newmarket (Rowley) 5/7 Flat 1m 4f Good 9st 3lbs Ray Dawson 29.94
23/08/19 Newmarket (July) 5/6 Flat 1m 4f Gd/frm 10st 3lbs Tim Clark 30
03/08/19 Newmarket (July) 1/4 Flat 1m 4f Gd/frm 9st 10lbs Tim Clark 16
29/06/19 Newcastle 14/15 Flat 2m 56y Slow 9st 7lbs Paddy Bradley 38
17/05/19 Newmarket (Rowley) 7/10 Flat 1m 6f Good 9st 4lbs John Egan 120
19/04/19 Lingfield Park 10/10 Flat 1m 7f 169y Std 9st 5lbs Richard Kingscote 25.4
02/03/19 Chelmsford City 3/7 Flat 1m 6f Slow 9st 12lbs Richard Kingscote 7.05
16/02/19 Kempton Park 1/5 Flat 1m 7f 218y Slow 9st 7lbs Richard Kingscote 42.59
26/01/19 Chelmsford City 2/4 Flat 1m 6f Slow 9st 11lbs Adam Kirby 8.85
03/08/18 Newmarket (July) 9/9 Flat 1m 4f Gd/frm 9st 5lbs Danny Brock 50.12
17/05/18 Newmarket (Rowley) 10/10 Flat 1m 4f Gd/frm 9st 7lbs Jamie Spencer 18.7
21/04/18 Newbury 16/16 Flat 1m 2f Gd/sft 9st 2lbs Stevie Donohoe 70
17/09/17 Dortmund 10/10 Flat 1m 5f 202y Gd/sft 9st 6lbs Paddy Bradley -
18/08/17 Nottingham 12/12 Flat 1m 6f Good 9st 5lbs Paddy Bradley 15.48
05/08/17 Newmarket (July) 2/8 Flat 1m 4f Gd/sft 9st 7lbs Paddy Bradley 7.59

Thaqaffa loves quick ground but didn't quite stay over 1m6f at Yarmouth last time, but he travelled well and should strip fitter as that was his first run since November.

Stamford Raffles is a quirky sort who likes to boss small fields, so we have the possibility of him leading, and there will be plenty of leeway to trade from his big price if he does.

He's down to a winnable mark of 82 and won a race at Newmarket last season when he absolutely tanked through it.

He does stay further too. Hopefully he'll find enough in a battle.

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Alan Dudman's P&L

2020 Overall: +2.33

This week:
Staked: 4.0
Returned: 7.40

2019: +3.25
2018: +44.91
2017: +5.49
2016: +16.38

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