Alan Dudman looks at the Newmarket card for Friday and has three selections to follow at headquarters...
"Stamford Raffles is a quirky sort who likes to boss small fields, so we have the possibility of him leading, and there will be plenty of leeway to trade from his big price if he does."
Make a date with Hannon's Wedding
14:45 Newmarket - Back Wedding Date @ BSP
Richard Hannon's Wedding Date looks a decent bet for the fillies' sprint at 14:45, and I can see her running a big race at around the [6.0] mark.
She's a bit better than the grade she'll face on Friday, which is why she looks bet material. The fact the handicapper has dropped her another 3lb down to 83 makes her well treated too. There's also the added bonus of the 5lb claim of apprentice Thore Hammer Hansen.
Dual 5f winner last summer and back to form with a cracking effort in 6f Windsor handicap last week, finding just a revitalised one too good. 3 lb lower and with good claimer up to boot now.
|16/06/20||Windsor||2/10||Flat||6f 12y||Good||9st 5lbs||Pat Dobbs||24.62|
|07/06/20||Newmarket (Rowley)||8/9||Flat||5f||Good||8st 13lbs||Pat Dobbs||19.28|
|07/09/19||Ascot||10/15||Flat||5f||Gd/frm||9st 5lbs||Thore Hammer Hansen||15.05|
|24/08/19||York||6/19||Flat||5f||Firm||8st 6lbs||Thore Hammer Hansen||16.88|
|26/07/19||Ascot||3/14||Flat||5f||Gd/frm||8st 7lbs||Thore Hammer Hansen||31.17|
|16/07/19||Bath||3/5||Flat||5f 10y||Firm||9st 7lbs||Silvestre De Sousa||3.25|
|08/07/19||Windsor||3/6||Flat||5f 21y||Gd/frm||9st 7lbs||Thore Hammer Hansen||3.65|
|22/06/19||Newmarket (July)||1/7||Flat||5f||Good||8st 6lbs||Thore Hammer Hansen||7|
|15/06/19||York||11/22||Flat||6f||Gd/sft||8st 6lbs||Clifford Lee||53.9|
|25/05/19||Chester||6/9||Flat||6f 17y||Good||9st 9lbs||Jamie Gormley||7.32|
|17/05/19||York||1/14||Flat||5f||Gd/frm||8st 13lbs||Clifford Lee||29.01|
|27/04/19||Ripon||5/9||Flat||5f||Good||9st 6lbs||Rossa Ryan||6.23|
|21/01/19||Wolverhampton||2/8||Flat||5f 21y||Std||9st 4lbs||Rossa Ryan||11.5|
|05/01/19||Kempton Park||4/5||Flat||6f||Slow||9st 7lbs||Rossa Ryan||5.1|
|19/11/18||Kempton Park||1/11||Flat||6f||Slow||9st 7lbs||Clifford Lee||5.3|
|30/10/18||Catterick Bridge||2/11||Flat||5f||Gd/sft||9st 4lbs||Clifford Lee||10.2|
|06/10/18||Newmarket (Rowley)||14/28||Flat||6f||Gd/sft||8st 10lbs||Silvestre De Sousa||16.69|
|02/07/18||Pontefract||3/4||Flat||6f||Gd/frm||8st 11lbs||Silvestre De Sousa||3.6|
|09/06/18||Beverley||6/10||Flat||5f||Gd/frm||8st 12lbs||Pat Dobbs||5.09|
|24/05/18||Sandown Park||5/9||Flat||5f 10y||Gd/sft||8st 12lbs||Ryan Moore||14.5|
|10/05/18||Chester||1/9||Flat||5f 15y||Good||9st 0lbs||Silvestre De Sousa||13|
Wedding Date likes quick ground and loves to run from off a fast pace as she usually finishes off well. A fine comeback at Windsor recently should put her spot on for this.
For a filly that won a 0-105 at York last term, this should be a bit easier.
Back two outsiders for Newmarket finale
16:50 Newmarket - Back Stamford Raffles and Thaqaffa @ BSP
There's a chance that the William Haggas-trained Shauyra could be overbet for this, and was priced up at 2/1 on the Sportsbook last night. But she was beaten by Glan Y Gors last time, and that isn't exactly top form.
That's why I am happy to play a couple in the same race at bigger odds, as Thaqaffa and Stamford Raffles were up at 16/1 and 14/1 when the race was priced up yesterday. Those odds were too big initially as both would have claims, so it was no surprise to see Raffles cut into 15/2. Both can be a bit tricky, so it could be worth using In-Play trading to get some of your money back.
Not the most reliable but scored twice last term and dispelled a tame return effort when close-up third over C&D last week, albeit idling markedly. Each-way claims with a repeat.
|18/06/20||Newmarket (Rowley)||3/5||Flat||1m 4f||Gd/sft||9st 6lbs||Tim Clark||16.24|
|05/06/20||Newmarket (Rowley)||11/12||Flat||1m 4f||Gd/frm||9st 1lbs||John Egan||72.19|
|11/03/20||Kempton Park||10/10||Flat||1m 7f 218y||Slow||9st 7lbs||Tim Clark||57.1|
|16/02/20||Kempton Park||7/7||Flat||1m 3f 219y||Slow||9st 2lbs||George Rooke||26|
|31/01/20||Newcastle||2/7||Flat||1m 4f 98y||Slow||9st 9lbs||George Rooke||36|
|28/11/19||Lingfield Park||8/8||Flat||1m 2f||Std||9st 4lbs||Darragh Keenan||69.4|
|26/09/19||Newmarket (Rowley)||5/7||Flat||1m 4f||Good||9st 3lbs||Ray Dawson||29.94|
|23/08/19||Newmarket (July)||5/6||Flat||1m 4f||Gd/frm||10st 3lbs||Tim Clark||30|
|03/08/19||Newmarket (July)||1/4||Flat||1m 4f||Gd/frm||9st 10lbs||Tim Clark||16|
|29/06/19||Newcastle||14/15||Flat||2m 56y||Slow||9st 7lbs||Paddy Bradley||38|
|17/05/19||Newmarket (Rowley)||7/10||Flat||1m 6f||Good||9st 4lbs||John Egan||120|
|19/04/19||Lingfield Park||10/10||Flat||1m 7f 169y||Std||9st 5lbs||Richard Kingscote||25.4|
|02/03/19||Chelmsford City||3/7||Flat||1m 6f||Slow||9st 12lbs||Richard Kingscote||7.05|
|16/02/19||Kempton Park||1/5||Flat||1m 7f 218y||Slow||9st 7lbs||Richard Kingscote||42.59|
|26/01/19||Chelmsford City||2/4||Flat||1m 6f||Slow||9st 11lbs||Adam Kirby||8.85|
|03/08/18||Newmarket (July)||9/9||Flat||1m 4f||Gd/frm||9st 5lbs||Danny Brock||50.12|
|17/05/18||Newmarket (Rowley)||10/10||Flat||1m 4f||Gd/frm||9st 7lbs||Jamie Spencer||18.7|
|21/04/18||Newbury||16/16||Flat||1m 2f||Gd/sft||9st 2lbs||Stevie Donohoe||70|
|17/09/17||Dortmund||10/10||Flat||1m 5f 202y||Gd/sft||9st 6lbs||Paddy Bradley||-|
|18/08/17||Nottingham||12/12||Flat||1m 6f||Good||9st 5lbs||Paddy Bradley||15.48|
|05/08/17||Newmarket (July)||2/8||Flat||1m 4f||Gd/sft||9st 7lbs||Paddy Bradley||7.59|
Thaqaffa loves quick ground but didn't quite stay over 1m6f at Yarmouth last time, but he travelled well and should strip fitter as that was his first run since November.
Stamford Raffles is a quirky sort who likes to boss small fields, so we have the possibility of him leading, and there will be plenty of leeway to trade from his big price if he does.
He's down to a winnable mark of 82 and won a race at Newmarket last season when he absolutely tanked through it.
He does stay further too. Hopefully he'll find enough in a battle.
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Alan Dudman's P&L
2020 Overall: +2.33
*All bets to a 0.5pt stake unless stated otherwise
Back Wedding Date @ BSP in the 14:45 at Newmarket
Back Thaqaffa and Stamford Raffles both at BSP in the 16:50 at Newmarket