- Trainer: William Muir
- Jockey: Martin Dwyer
- Age: 4
- Weight: 8st 5lbs
- OR: 89
Form:
Today's Horse Racing Tips: Just back Hubert for Plate success at Newcastle
Alan was unlucky yesterday with Wedding Date, who finished second and was beaten at [1.13] in the run. Today he has a bet at a decent price in the Northumberland Plate...
"He landed the Edinburgh Cup from 86 with a strong staying performance, but I really enjoyed his pick up effort off a strong pace over 2m at Sandown."
Back Just Hubert Win and Place @ BSP in the 15:35 at Newcastle
Expect a big run from Muir's Hubert
15:35 Newcastle - Back Just Hubert Win and Place @ BSP
Seconds hit again yesterday, although I can't really grumble with Thaqaffa getting slammed by half the track. The [1.13] in-running of Wedding Date however was a tough one.
I usually end up with the Betfair Northumberland Plate when on duty, which is a good thing as it's a proper Saturday race and an Extra Place Special race too on the Sportsbook. I like a couple in Smart Champion and Just Hubert, and preference is for the latter who really impressed me last season.
He improved for the step up to 2m in what was a very productive 2019 campaign. He landed the Edinburgh Cup from 86 with a strong staying performance, but I really enjoyed his pick up effort off a strong pace over 2m at Sandown. The finish and the tempo of the race really suited him, so I envisage Newcastle could play to his strengths.
Scroll for more info
| Date | Course/Class | Pos | Type | Dist. | Gng. | HDGR | WGT | Jockey | BSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/20 | Haydock Park | 6/6 | Flat | 2m 45y | Good | 8st 9lbs | Graham Lee | 4.56 | |
| 02/11/19 | Chelmsford City | 6/9 | Flat | 1m 6f | Slow | 8st 7lbs | Nicola Currie | 16.72 | |
| 04/10/19 | Ascot | 5/8 | Flat | 1m 6f 34y | Heavy | 9st 1lbs | Tom Marquand | 6.2 | |
| 14/09/19 | Musselburgh | 1/10 | Flat | 1m 7f 217y | Gd/frm | 9st 5lbs | Graham Lee | 4.4 | |
| 24/08/19 | York | 5/12 | Flat | 1m 5f 188y | Firm | 8st 11lbs | P. J. McDonald | 32 | |
| 25/07/19 | Sandown Park | 1/6 | Flat | 1m 6f | Gd/frm | 8st 9lbs | Tom Marquand | 13.5 | |
| 08/07/19 | Ripon | 1/5 | Flat | 1m 4f 10y | Gd/frm | 9st 7lbs | Daniel Tudhope | 2.38 | |
| 04/07/19 | Newbury | 3/5 | Flat | 1m 4f | Gd/frm | 8st 11lbs | Kerrin McEvoy | 23.52 | |
| 09/05/19 | Chester | 4/10 | Flat | 1m 4f 63y | Heavy | 8st 12lbs | Ben Curtis | 22.49 | |
| 19/04/19 | Bath | 6/7 | Flat | 1m 3f 137y | Gd/frm | 8st 10lbs | Martin Dwyer | 39.96 | |
| 24/10/18 | Newmarket (Rowley) | 9/9 | Flat | 1m 2f | Good | 9st 1lbs | Martin Dwyer | 14.66 | |
| 08/10/18 | Pontefract | 1/6 | Flat | 1m 2f 5y | Soft | 9st 2lbs | Daniel Tudhope | 4.78 | |
| 24/09/18 | Kempton Park | 2/9 | Flat | 1m 1f 219y | Std | 9st 2lbs | Tom Marquand | 44.07 | |
| 26/08/18 | Goodwood | 5/8 | Flat | 1m | Soft | 9st 4lbs | Martin Dwyer | 32.52 |
Indeed, from last season, he boasts an excellent piece of form when finishing fifth in the Melrose.
He'll be a lot fitter following a comeback run at Haydock. He was too keen in that from a poor position, although it was a pretty strong race.
With a good draw and a double figure price at 14/1 on the Sportsbook initially and [24.0] on the Exchange, he should also be considered in the Place market. He has been mentioned as a possible for the Melbourne Cup by his trainer William Muir.
Dream of a winner with Knight's Author
16:10 Newcastle - Back Author's Dream @ [3.55]
Trainer William Knight must be loving Newmarket since his switch to headquarters for the season, as he is operating at a near 30% strike-rate with his runners at the moment - and that included a Royal Ascot winner.
He sends one for the Vase Consolation, and in truth, this shouldn't take an awful lot of winning.
Form:
Five wins from 19 Flat runs. Won 11-runner handicap at Sandown (14f, good, 33/1) 14 days ago. 5 lb rise fair enough but this is a stronger race, so more will be needed.
Scroll for more info
| Date | Course/Class | Pos | Type | Dist. | Gng. | HDGR | WGT | Jockey | BSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/20 | Sandown Park | 1/11 | Flat | 1m 6f | Good | V | 9st 3lbs | Callum Shepherd | 35.75 |
| 29/02/20 | Lingfield Park | 4/8 | Flat | 1m 7f 169y | Std | V | 10st 0lbs | Elisha Whittington | 10.19 |
| 15/01/20 | Wolverhampton | 8/10 | Flat | 2m 120y | Slow | V | 9st 12lbs | Pierre-Louis Jamin | 15 |
| 07/08/19 | Kempton Park | 4/7 | Flat | 1m 7f 218y | Slow | V | 10st 0lbs | Jason Watson | 140 |
| 28/05/18 | Chelmsford City | 7/10 | Flat | 2m | Std | V | 9st 10lbs | Tom Queally | 12.36 |
| 11/05/18 | Ascot | 9/11 | Flat | 1m 7f 209y | Firm | V | 9st 10lbs | Joshua Bryan | 30.75 |
| 07/04/18 | Kempton Park | 8/11 | Flat | 1m 7f 218y | Std | V | 8st 11lbs | Luke Morris | 6.8 |
| 03/03/18 | Lingfield Park | 1/4 | Flat | 1m 7f 169y | Std | V | 9st 9lbs | Jason Watson | 2.71 |
| 03/02/18 | Lingfield Park | 1/8 | Flat | 1m 7f 169y | Std | V | 9st 12lbs | Martin Harley | 3.2 |
| 10/01/18 | Lingfield Park | 1/8 | Flat | 1m 7f 169y | Std/fast | V | 9st 10lbs | Martin Harley | 3.96 |
| 09/12/17 | Wolverhampton | 1/13 | Flat | 2m 120y | Std/slow | V | 9st 6lbs | Martin Harley | 5.64 |
| 07/11/17 | Kempton Park | 3/14 | Flat | 1m 7f 218y | Std | V | 9st 6lbs | Luke Morris | 17.01 |
| 14/06/17 | Kempton Park | 4/12 | Flat | 1m 7f 218y | Slow | 9st 4lbs | Jim Crowley | 2.93 | |
| 04/05/17 | Lingfield Park | 9/13 | Flat | 1m 7f 169y | Std | 9st 4lbs | Jim Crowley | 2.38 | |
| 25/03/17 | Wolverhampton | 2/9 | Flat | 2m 119y | Std | 9st 4lbs | Callum Shepherd | 3.22 | |
| 28/05/16 | Salisbury | 7/13 | Flat | 1m 4f | Good | 8st 13lbs | Jim Crowley | 17.59 | |
| 29/04/16 | Chepstow | 10/13 | Flat | 1m 2f 36y | Good | 8st 10lbs | Jim Crowley | 33.7 | |
| 17/11/15 | Lingfield Park | 7/9 | Flat | 1m 1y | Std/fast | 9st 5lbs | Tom Queally | 26.93 | |
| 04/11/15 | Nottingham | 7/11 | Flat | 1m 75y | Soft | 9st 5lbs | Tom Queally | 21 |
Author's Dream is the one, and whilst he is towards the head of the market at [3.55], he looks well-in on his old form and is simply a better horse on the all-weather.
Last time he won at Sandown over 1m6f with a strong staying performance from a wide move, and whilst he has gone up 5lb, his mark of 81 isn't prohibitive.
A return to a testing 2m will suit as he is from a family of strong stayers.
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Alan Dudman's P&L
2020 Overall: +0.83
This week:
Staked: 5.5
Returned: 7.40
2019: +3.25
2018: +44.91
2017: +5.49
2016: +16.38
*All bets to a 0.5pt stake unless stated otherwise
Recommended bets
Back Just Hubert Win and Place @ BSP in the 15:35 at Newcastle
Back Author's Dream @ [3.55] in the 16:10 at Newcastle
Three-time handicap winner as 3-y-o, latest at Musselburgh in September, but has gone off the boil and returned with last of 6 at Haydock. Makes tapeta debut with questions to answer now.