Horse Racing Tips: Timeform's three best bets in Britain on Thursday

Flat racing
Haydock is one of five meetings in Britain on Thursday

Timeform pick out their best back, lay and stats-based bets on Thursday...

"...remains with potential and is fancied to extend his winning sequence to four..."

Timeform on Al Rufaa

Back
Al Rufaa - 14:50 Haydock

Al Rufaa completed a hat-trick in good style at Newmarket last month, hitting the front a furlong out and keeping going well to land the spoils by two lengths, defying a mark 12 lb higher than when recording his previous win. Still relatively unexposed in the context of this race, he remains with potential and is fancied to extend his winning sequence to four, with bigger and better things likely to be on his agenda in the autumn (holds entries in pattern company).

Lay
Pitcher's Point - 18:20 Chelmsford

Pitcher's Point was always in control when opening his account at Lingfield in March, but the horses to come out of that minor event since have all been well beaten, suggesting that it was just an ordinary race of its type. Pitcher's Point also has a six-month absence to contend with here, suggesting that he hasn't been the easiest to train, and he'll probably need to improve to defy an opening mark of 82, so there are plenty of reasons to take him on in a handicap where several come in with interesting claims.

Smart Stat
Proper Ticket - 18:00 Southwell

23% - Paddy Brennan's strike rate at Southwell

Paddy Brennan is always worth following at Southwell and his best chance of a winner on this evening's card looks to be Proper Ticket, who was value for extra when making a successful handicap debut at Kelso in March, ultimately winning by two lengths. She is 5 lb higher here but remains the one to beat according to Timeform's weight-adjusted ratings, while it would be folly to rule out further improvement on just her fifth start for the Fergal O'Brien yard that continues in top form (10 winners from last 42 runners).


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