Horse Racing Tips: Timeform's best bets at Leicester and Perth on Monday

Flat racing
Leicester is one of four meetings in the UK on Monday

Timeform pick out their best back, lay and stats-based bets on Monday...

"...dropping below listed level for the first time since her two-year-old days..."

Timeform on Al Raya

Back
Al Raya - 16:25 Leicester

Al Raya has developed into a borderline smart sprinter this season, producing her best performance when beaten just a short head by Moss Gill in a listed contest at York in July. That form sets the standard here on Timeform's weight-adjusted ratings, dropping below listed level for the first time since her two-year-old days, and the good run of the Simon and Ed Crisford yard (eight winners from last 20 runners) is also a big plus as she seeks a third career success.

Lay
Famille Rose - 14:20 Leicester

Famille Rose sets the standard here on form, but she is well worth opposing with so many interesting newcomers in opposition. She has now had three starts without success and seems to have stopped progressing on the evidence of her fourth on handicap debut at Newmarket last month, so it could be worth taking her on with the potential of the John Gosden-trained debutant Hidden Breeze, who cost €300,000 as a foal and is related to a couple of smart winners.

Smart Stat
Craigmor - 16:50 Perth

27% - Richard Johnson's strike rate at Perth

Craigmor has been in good form over hurdles recently, winning at Market Rasen in July and then running at least as well in defeat when filling the runner-up spot at this venue last time. The winner advertised the strength of that form when following up on his next start, so there are plenty of reasons to be positive about Craigmor on his return to chasing, racing from the same mark as last time and again partnered by Richard Johnson, who has enjoyed plenty of success at Perth in recent seasons.


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