Horse Racing Tips: Timeform's best bets at Goodwood and Newton Abbot on Tuesday

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Goodwood is one of four meetings in the UK on Tuesday
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Timeform pick out their best back, lay and stats-based bets on Tuesday...

"...may yet prove capable of better still and remains very much a filly to follow..."

Timeform on Royal Address

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Calum Gilhooley - 13:00 Newton Abbot

Calum Gilhooley has looked a fairly useful prospect in two starts over hurdles, finishing second on his debut at Southwell and then making short work of his rivals at this track last time. That form identifies him as the one to beat here on Timeform's weight-adjusted ratings, even under a penalty. When you also factor in his scope for further progress, then he looks to hold obvious claims in his follow-up bid for the in-form Graeme McPherson yard (four winners and three seconds from last 15 runners).

Lay
Story of Friends - 14:40 Newton Abbot

Story of Friends is opposable as he attempts to follow up last week's impressive success over course and distance. The quick turnaround is certainly a concern given the extreme test of stamina that this race poses, while he'll probably need another career-best effort to defy a 7 lb penalty, especially as this represents a significant step up in grade. Preference is for Yeavering Belle, who has a progressive profile over hurdles and would likely have made it four from four in this discipline had she not jumped rather erratically when runner-up at Uttoxeter last time.

Smart Stat
Royal Address - 16:05 Goodwood

20% - William Haggas' strike rate at Goodwood since the start of the 2016 season

William Haggas is always worth following with his runners at Goodwood, and his best chance of a winner on this afternoon's card looks to be Royal Address, who showed much-improved form to make a successful nursery debut at Sandown recently, winning by four lengths with plenty in hand. The handicapper has reacted accordingly, giving her a 14 lb hike in the weights, but she may yet prove capable of better still and remains very much a filly to follow.


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