Great St Wilfrid Stakes
Saturday August 13, 15:55
1. Perfect Pasture (Michael Easterby) Proved better than ever when winning valuable 19-runner handicap by two lengths from Master Speaker at the Curragh last time. 10 lb higher in the weights now though, and faces a tough task from top weight.
2. Baccarat (Charlie Appleby) Won handicap at Meydan (by one and three quarter lengths from Naadirr) in February but now 3 lb higher and was well beaten at both Windsor and in the Stewards' Cup at Goodwood last time (though did race on disadvantaged side of the track).
3. Orion's Bow (David Nicholls) Completed remarkable five-timer in handicaps this season, starting from a BHA mark of 69 and now rated 106. Unable to complete six-timer in Stewards' Cup at Goodwood last time, but no shame in going down to potential top-notch three-year-old rival in Dancing Star, and though now up another 3 lb in the handicap here, should run very well once again.
4. Kimberella (David Nicholls) Thriving this summer in sprint handicaps over five and six furlongs, winning at Chester and York as well as finding the frame on six other occasions. Shaped as if still in good form in Stewards' Cup at Goodwood last time but raced on the wrong part of the track and should give another good account despite now being up another 2 lb in the weights (was under a 6 lb penalty for York win there)
5. George Dryden (Ann Duffield) Good end to 2015, winning at York and finishing third in the Portland Handicap at Doncaster. Better than ever on return in handicap over C&D (soft) in April, finishing neck second to Avon Breeze, but below form last two starts (though was flying too high in Group 3 last time).
6. Toofi (Robert Cowell) Shaped well first two starts this year for new yard, finishing four lengths eighth to Outback Traveller in Wokingham at Royal Ascot (too much to do) on penultimate start. Never got going in the Stewards' Cup last time, though.
7. Alben Star (Richard Fahey) Better on all-weather and career-best effort when winning valuable conditions race for second time at Lingfield in March. Not disgraced when tenth in Stewards' Cup last time after three-month break and entitled to come on for that.
8. Moonraker (Mick Channon) Good second at Newcastle in June but below that form back on turf last twice, running poorly in Stewards' Cup.
9. Louis The Pious (David O'Meara) Won Buckingham Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot and Ayr Gold Cup in 2014, but generally well below form in 2015. Showed a bit more when ninth of 16 at York last time and clearly still has something to offer from a declining mark.
10. Nameitwhatyoulike (Bryan Smart) Front runner who won at Ripon, Pontefract and Doncaster in 2015 and was as good as ever when third over C&D on return in April. Shaped as if needing run at Hamilton last time after further 12 weeks off.
11. Mythmaker (Bryan Smart) Better than ever on first turf start this season when neck second behind See The Sun in 6f handicap at York in May but was well held for second time on tapeta last time at Newcastle. Will be suited by return to turf here.
12. Go Far (Alan Bailey) Awarded race over 6f at Goodwood in May (though almost certainly wasn't best at the weights on the day) and ran poorly last time in the Stewards' Cup over that C&D. Blinkers now replace usual visor.
13. Pipers Note (Richard Whitaker) Won three of first four starts in 2014, including C&D handicap here (from 4 lb higher in the weights) and minor event at Beverley. Largely below that form in handicaps/minor events since, however, including at Doncaster latest start.
14. Related (Paul Midgley) Back to best with neck second of 28 to Hoof It at Goodwood last time (albeit from a good track position) and arrives here in top form. 3 lb higher in the weights now, and probably needs more again here to win for first time since March 2015.
15. Snap Shots (Tom Dascombe) Benefited from the step back up to this trip when winning eight-runner handicap over C&D at the beginning of the month (by a nose from Foxtrot Knight). This much tougher from 4 lb higher in weights but does at least arrive in top form.
16. Nuno Tristan (Richard Fahey) Announced his arrival in big handicaps this summer for Richard Fahey, winning over 7f at Redcar in June before good fifth of 24 in the International at Ascot over that trip and third of 28 over 6f at Goodwood last time, picking way through from the back and closing in on a pair who had dominated from halfway. Only a four-year-old and may have more to offer yet.
17. Intisaab (David O'Meara) Not out of the first two home in last five starts, winning at Ayr twice and posting seconds at York (twice) and Ascot. Still looked on a handy mark last time at York when one and three-quarter lengths second of 16 to Kimberella from a difficult draw (not as well placed in relation to the winner) and is one to watch out for from just 1 lb higher in the weights.
18. Son of Africa (Henry Candy) Has a rather hit and miss profile to date and hasn't gone on from his impressive handicap win at Newmarket last June. Wasn't seen to best effect last time at Nottingham, however, racing freely and short of room over 1f out (would have benefited from a stronger gallop) and remains capable of better than that.
19. Tatlisu (Richard Fahey) Won Ayr Silver Cup at Ayr last September but below that form since, including when well beaten at York last time (unsuited by the emphasis on speed on firmish ground). Now eased to 3 lb below last winning mark.
20. Mujassam (David O'Meara) Won twice for Roger Varian in 2015 (both over 7f) and two good thirds this season (once over 6f) before switching yards. Has had a tendency to throw in the towel on more than one occasion though, particularly when faced with big fields.
Timeform Great St Wilfrid 1-2-3
1. Orion's Bow
2. Nuno Tristan
Timeform Analyst's Verdict:
ORION'S BOW has been a real success story this term, winning 5 consecutive sprint handicaps prior to losing little caste in defeat behind a highly-progressive 3-y-o in last month's Stewards' Cup. He looks sure to make a bold bid once more and earns the vote. Nuno Tristan, Intisaab, Related and the selections stable mate Kimberella make up something of an extensive shortlist.