Follow The Money: Don't cross the Picket Line at Lingfield

Our final bet of the day is on the all-weather at Lingfield
Our final bet of the day is on the all-weather at Lingfield

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Wetherby, Fontwell and Lingfield.

"The money behind Picket Line means he should at least make the frame this afternoon and it would be no surprise to see him shed the maiden tag this afternoon, but we recommend covering both eventualities with an each-way bet."

Back Picket Line EW @ 5.79/2 in the 15:40 at Lingfield

Recommended Bets
Lay Kaki De La Pree @ 2.6213/8 in the 13:20 at Wetherby
Back Showboater @ 2.68/5 in the 13:40 at Fontwell

We start with today's negative at Wetherby where Kaki De La Pree has been easy to back, wandering out to a price of 2.6213/8 from 2.0421/20 for the 3m Beginners Chase at 13:20. At first glance Tom Symonds' eight-year-old looks the most likely winner being the only runner with previous experience of fences and was a narrow runner-up in a Grade novice event over course and distance behind the very useful Ned Stark. That form clearly sets the standard here but he takes on a couple of smart recruits from hurdling and may not be at his best after so long without a race. The selection disappointed on seasonal debut last term and should not be trusted at such short odds as this is no easy task; Neil King's Milansbar stays well, loves soft ground and racked up a hat trick over hurdles earlier in the year, then Tim Easterby's Run Ructions Run boasts winning form at this venue, receives a mares' allowance and has the benefit of a recent run.

Over at Fontwell, Showboater has been solidly supported from 3.45 into 2.68/5 for the 2m1f Novice Handicap Chase at 13:40. Ben Pauling's yard has been one to follow of late having sent out four winners from their last 12 runners, including a couple of notable gambles, and punters have wasted no time in getting stuck into this six-year-old on chasing debut. He may not have set the world alight last season over hurdles but twice went close in bumpers and, as a point winner on soft, will handle the testing conditions that await him today in Sussex. The selection receives 7lb from only serious market rival Brave Deed and is open to more improvement than that one while the sheer volume of money behind him suggests this switch to the larger obstacles will bring about a marked improvement.

Finally there has been a major move for Picket Line in Lingfield's 15:40 6f Maiden Stakes, the gelding now trades at 6.05/1 after being available at 16.015/1 early this morning. Geoffrey Deacon's three-year-old didn't show a great deal last time out at Newbury when always toward the rear of the field but a better guide to his chances might be his All-Weather second at Kempton on his previous start. He made all that day and was only headed inside the furlong by the even-money favourite who was receiving weight, so a reproduction of that form would seemingly give him every chance. That Kempton effort followed a few months off the track and he has been similarly freshened up by a break since September. The money behind this unexposed type means he should at least make the frame this afternoon and it would be no surprise to see him shed the maiden tag this afternoon, but we recommend covering both eventualities with an each-way bet.


Recommended Bets
Lay Kaki De La Pree @ 2.6213/8 in the 13:20 at Wetherby
Back Showboater @ 2.68/5 in the 13:40 at Fontwell
Back Picket Line EW @ 5.79/2 in the 15:40 at Lingfield


Follow The Money bring you their three best bets - a back, a lay and an each-way - every day on Betting.Betfair.

Follow The Money October P/L

Staked 93.0 pts
Returned 126.78 pts
P/L + 33.78 pts
For October, calculated before commission, based on prices at time of publication

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