This afternoon's Follow The Money comes from Southwell...
For our first positive, we focus on the 14:15 Handicap Chase over 3m. Our selection Sonneofpresenting has been heavily supported this morning being backed in from a high of 4.84/1 in to the currently trading 3.8514/5. This six year old was fortunate to win over hurdles last time out but it looks significant that his connections have opted to switch him to fences at this relatively early stage in his career. An interesting fact is that trainer Kim Bailey has a 45% strike rate (fives winners from 11 runs) in chases at Southwell. We expect a bold bid from the gelding this afternoon.
Our each-way selection comes in the 16:45 3m Handicap Hurdle. Selection Jigsaw Financial has seen steady support, in from 13.29 in to 11.521/2. He was well held when returning to the track last month but probably found the two mile trip a bit on the sharp side. More is now expected when back up in trip, and he's won twice over this course previously and is now just 1lb higher in the weights than when successful at Newton Abbott back in September. For this reason we are making Jigsaw Financial our each-way selection.
Today's lay comes in the final race, the 17:15 2m4f Handicap Hurdle. Selection Perfect Summer has proved easy to back drifting from 2.1411/10 out to 2.526/4. Even with a hike in the weights Perfect Summer still makes some appeal however there are some risks attached to backing her - she hasn't always looked enthusiastic since switching to hurdles and seems to have some quirks that she must overcome. We suggest a lay bet as a result.
Back Sonneofpresenting @ 3.8514/5 in the 14:15 Handicap Chase
Back Jigsaw Financial each-way @ 11.521/2 in the 16:45 Handicap Chase
Lay Perfect Summer @ 2.526/4 in the 17:45 Handicap Hurdle
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