Today's Follow The Money comes from the fourth day at Royal Ascot, with all eyes on a certain Ryan Moore...
We start off in the King Edward VII Stakes at 15:05, where the David Simcock-trained Balios has received substantial support, coming in from 7.26/1 to 5.49/2. The twice-raced colt has shown a lot of potential so far, winning well on debut and then finishing a very creditable second to Godolphin's Best Of Times in a Listed race at Newmarket. Off level weights that was a superb effort considering Best Of Times was rated 12lb superior. With that run he arguably holds the best form over today's trip which has to be a huge positive with many horses tackling the distance for the first time. Jamie Spencer looks set to employ a trademark hold-up ride and, with the ground posing no issues, he looks to have a solid chance at claiming this Group 2.
Today's lay is Found in the 16:20 Coronation Stakes. Having opened at 2.427/5 she is now available to back at 2.767/4 which seems extremely significant considering the long time antepost favourite has the services of the irrepressible Ryan Moore. Since missing the Guineas due to a setback she has failed to get her head in front despite being sent off the 5/4 favourite on both occasions. Pleascach, who beat Found in the Irish 1000 Guineas, ran a respectable second yesterday but was, in the end, well beaten.
This looks a very strong renewal of the race and she will have to see off a host of strong contenders if she is to notch up her first win this season today. Lucida was arguably an unlucky second in the English 1000 Guineas and has finished ahead of Found before in the Moyglare Stud Stakes in Ireland. French raider Ervedya was devastating in the French Guineas displaying an excellent turn of foot. Those are the two main dangers according to the market but cases can be made for almost every runner in the field. We are happy to take Found on today.
Our second back comes from the 17:00 Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes and Dashing Star, shortening this morning from 14.6 to 10.519/2. It would be impossible for us not to recommend Ryan Moore to win at least one race, considering his superb form. The David Elsworth-trained gelding ran a solid race last time when second to Watersmeet who re-opposes today and it is worth noting the rider dropped the whip towards the finish. He has gone up just the 2lb for that race and a mark of 99 still looks workable. Tim Clark did claim an extra 5lb last time but the talents of Moore surely can make up for that. Dashing Star ran well for a long way and possibly just got tired out in front which he was probably entitled to do having not raced for a few months. He is expected to be fitter for that outing today and should pose a serious threat in what looks a very competitive handicap.
Follow The Money 2015 P/L
Staked: 450 pts
Returned: 481.18 pts
P/L: + 31.18 pts
Based on prices at time of publication, calculated before commission. Correct to end of May.