Follow The Money: Lac Fontana the horse to back at Cheltenham this afternoon

Lac Fontana runs in the 16:10 at Cheltenham today
Lac Fontana runs in the 16:10 at Cheltenham today

Welcome to today's Follow The Money from Cheltenham and Lingfield...

"The market move from 9.08/1 in to 6.611/2 suggests that there is significant confidence in Lac Fontana to gain a second win for a stable in rude health at present."

Vicenzo Mio is being backed as if defeat is out of the question in the opener at Cheltenham today, the 12:40 Grade 2 Juvenile Hurdle over 2m1f. On paper this Triumph Hurdle trial looks a trappy affair, with Le Rocher already a winner of a Grade 1, and expensive purchase Goodwood Mirage showed a useful level of form to win on debut a fortnight ago at Kempton. Perhaps best of all, however, is our selection who blew away a decent field at the King George meeting, again at Kempton, in December winning by 17 lengths and giving weight to the field.

The aforementioned market principals are on the drift in the face of overwhelming support for Vicenzo Mio who has moved from 2.89/5 in early trades to 2.285/4 with about 60% of the market volume. This inmate of Paul Nicholls already figures highly in our ante-post Triumph hurdle market where he currently trades at around 18.5. He could well be a lot shorter than that if he puts his best foot forward today.

Over to Lingfield for our Lay of the Day in the 1m4f maiden at 15:10 where Against The Tide has been on the drift all morning, moving from 1.910/11 out to 2.26/5. This Richard Hannon inmate ran well over a mile here on her first run ten days ago, and the step up to this trip is expected to suit. However, the vastly more experienced After The Storm sets the standard, has been strong in the market and has the benefit of the irrepressible Frankie Dettori on board who registered a brace of wins last time he did the steering round Lingfield.

It's back over to Cheltenham for the lucky last - the 16:10 2m1f Handicap Hurdle where we have seen solid support for another Paul Nicholls-trained runner in Lac Fontana. This French import is obviously very well thought of at home, having been pitched in to the frenzy of the Triumph Hurdle on only his third start with the stable last year. In truth, his form has been a bit in and out since, though encouragingly he has won at the course two starts back. The heavy ground shouldn't be a problem and this looks like a decent chance to get another win from a fairly lenient opening mark. The market move from 9.08/1 in to 6.611/2 suggests that there is significant confidence in Lac Fontana to gain a second win for a stable in rude health at present.

Recommendations:

Back Vicenzo Mio @ 2.285/4 in the 12:40 at Cheltenham
Lay Against The Tide @ 2.26/5 in the 15:10 at Lingfield
Back Lac Fontana @ 6.611/2 in 16:10 at Cheltenham

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