Follow The Money: Heart being backed to Flash past the post in first place

Marcus Tregoning is a trainer in fine form
Marcus Tregoning is a trainer in fine form

The markets have been reviewed and today's three Follow The Money selections come from the meetings at Hamilton, Bath, Newton Abbot...

Recommended Bets

Back Doc Charm @ 5.24/1 14:40 @ Hamilton

Back Flashheart @ 3.7511/4 15:20 @ Bath

Lay Gorteenwood @ 3.02/1 17:30 @ Newton Abbot


We start at Hamilton, in the 14:40 Nursery where we have seen sustained money for Keith Dalgleish's Doc Charm from 7.26/1 in to 5.24/1.

Beaten only nine lengths by the Wow Signal on his debut at Ayr, he then won easily on his next start, beating a half decent field be six lengths. Thrown in at the deep end in the Richmond Stakes at Goodwood in July he was beaten out of sight by next year's 2000 Guineas favourite, Ivawood. On the face of it, being beaten 20 lengths by that animal isn't that bad, on ground which was probably too quick. He was maybe a bit disappointing on his last start when fifth of twelve, first time in handicap company, however that was a pretty decent race. He takes a big drop in class today and we expect Doc Charm to win at a very generous price.

Swiftly on to Bath for our next positive. We've seen a massive move for Flashheart in the 15:20 a Handicap over a mile and a quarter. He has traded as high as 6.56 but his price has nose-dived into favouritism at 3.7511/4.

He is a maiden winner over the distance on firm ground in May last season but has been disappointing since; not really threatening on four starts following that win. As a result he's plummeted down the weights. There were signs of promise when only beaten four and a half lengths by Balmoral Castle on the way to a three timer, and interestingly Gold Cup winning trainer Marcus Tregoning reaches for the head gear. With the trainer in fine form and the major market move, today could be the day for Flashheart to finish off the season with a bang.

Our negative runs in the last at Newton Abbot, the 17:30 Handicap chase over 3m2f. Gorteenwood has been relatively weak. Backed as low as 2.26/5 the Mark Gillard gelding has drifted to 3.02/1.

He's had a great summer with three wins from six starts but as a result he's on a 12 pound higher mark from his last win. It looks like a pretty tough race on paper and we have a major move for James Evans' Minella Bliss. He's also up in trip so we think this combined with the competitive field and the weight means he will maybe find it too tough and is worth taking on. A lay is the call at 3.02/1.


Recommended Bets

Back Doc Charm @ 5.24/1 14:40 @ Hamilton
Back Flashheart @ 3.7511/4 15:20 @ Bath
Lay Gorteenwood @ 3.02/1 17:30 @ Newton Abbot


Follow The Money 2014 P/L

Staked: 723pts
Returned: 748.29pts
P/L: + 25.29pts (before commission)

Based on prices at time of publication. Correct to end of August.

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