Follow The Money: Buffalo being backed to charge his way to victory

The FTM team fancy Broadway Buffalo at Chepstow today
The FTM team fancy Broadway Buffalo at Chepstow today

Today's Follow The Money selections come from the meetings at Chepstow and Doncaster...

Recommended Bets

Lay Stubbs @ 4.67/2 14:05 Doncaster

Back Broadway Buffalo @ 3.711/4 16:10 Chepstow

Back George Rooke @ 5.59/2 17:30 Doncaster


The first bet of the day is our lay, with which Stubbs in the 14:05 at Doncaster has drifted from a morning low of 2.26/5 out to 4.67/2. The Aidan O'Brien trained 2yo arrives here two out of four for the season, with his last run being sixth place in the Coventry Stakes at Ascot after starting as favourite. He drops down into Listed Company today over his favoured trip of 6 furlongs, so we have plenty of positives there. However, when we pick into his form and the opposition he faces today we now understand why he has been on the drift. All four of his rivals are receiving 3lbs off him today, and all bar Brave Boy have had sustained market support, especially the Richard Hannon trained Night Of Thunder, who could not have been more impressive on his debut at Goodwood two weeks ago. The next negative going against Stubbs today is the soft ground in which his only other run over it he finished third. Although we will not be totally reliant on that as it was his debut and it was the heavier side of soft. But with the big drift coming from a top yard we have to put this one up as our lay bet at 4.67/2.

Our first back of the day is Broadway Buffalo who runs in the 16:10 at Chepstow. The David Pipe trained 5yo has had steady support all morning, being backed from 5.69/2 in to 3.711/4. The Gelding is having his first run of the season after winning four of his five starts last season, doing absolutely nothing wrong until his most recent run, with which he finished 10th place in a hot race at Aintree on handicap debut. Some nicely handicapped horses finished ahead of him that day so we are prepared to give him the benefit of doubt for that run. He returns today 1lb lower than that race at Aintree and in terms of opposition we would have to consider the Paul Nicholls trained Virak as the main danger. This is his handicap debut after scooting up at Newton Abbot in March, however with the quite alarming drift on him we are prepared to back the 3.711/4 readily available for the Buffalo.

The final back of the day is George Rooke in the 17:30 at Doncaster who has been backed from 11.010/1 in to 5.59/2 joint favourite. The Kevin Ryan trained 3yo is back on the racecourse after having a 72 day break, which we don't consider a cause for concern. The Gelding has had some tough races this year and we think the small break will have done him well. He comes into this apprentice handicap today still searching for his first win this season, after not landing any prizes since last October. He will be running today off a mark of 80, which is the exact same mark of his last win at Catterick in a class higher than he is in today, and with the added bonus of the 3lbs that Kevin Stott takes off his back we feel he is very nicely handicapped to take this race.


Recommended Bets

Lay Stubbs @ 4.67/2 14:05 Doncaster
Back Broadway Buffalo @ 3.711/4 16:10 Chepstow
Back George Rooke @ 5.59/2 17:30 Doncaster


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