Follow The Money: Aazif has stamina for long trip

FTM have two bets at HQ today

Today's Follow The Money Movers come from the meetings at Newmarket and Newcastle.

Recommended Bets
Lay Ersaal @ 3.90 Newmarket 14:15
Back Ralphy Boy @ 11.5021/2 Newcastle 14:30

Back Aazif @ 3.8014/5 Newmarket 17:35


In Newmarket's opening 7f Maiden at 14:15, Ersaal has drifted alarmingly in the betting out to 3.9 from 2.3211/8. Roger Varian has been doing well with his two-year-olds of late and this unraced colt has a strong profile but being by Dubawi might appreciate more cut underfoot than he will get from the good to firm ground. He comes up against two well-bred types from major yards in Timoneer (Al Zarooni) and Bright Strike (John Gosden) so, with all the usual doubts over how he will take to the track, cannot be considered banker material.

Up at Newcastle, Ralphy Boy has been backed dramatically into 11.521/2 from 3029/1 for the 14:30 6f Handicap. The three-year-old colt seems to have lost his way this term after winning two sprints a year ago but today makes his debut for Kevin Ryan's yard and if rejuvenated by the new surroundings could be interesting at long odds. He's dropped 5lbs in the ratings since making his handicap debut, after finishing down the field on his last three appearances, but drops back in trip for this event and will relish the quick ground. With plenty of market support behind him an improved showing would be no surprise.

Finally back to Newmarket for the 17:35 1m5f Handicap, in which Aazif has been well supported down to 3.814/5 from an earlier 6.03. John Dunlop's three-year-old did not make the expected impact in two early-season handicaps after creating a good impression when winning a Goodwood maiden last October. However he drops down in class here and a recent gelding operation may have helped settle his temperament. There is stamina in his pedigree, being a half-brother to smart stayer Akmal, so the longer trip should be to his advantage and it is not difficult to see why the money has come pouring in.

Recommended Bets
Lay Ersaal @ 3.90 Newmarket 14:15
Back Ralphy Boy @ 11.5021/2 Newcastle 14:30

Back Aazif @ 3.8014/5 Newmarket 17:35

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