Follow The Money: A Confession to make at Newbury

How will our Fontwell fancy fare?

Today's Follow The Money selections run at Ayr, Fontwell and Newbury.

"With the drop to 5f in his favour Confessional should go close to ending his losing streak."

Our first mover comes in the 13:35 at Newbury, a 5f Handicap where there has been solid support for Confessional who has come in to 5.39/2 from 8.27/1. This Tim Easterby-trained gelding put up some fair efforts last season and was unlucky not to win a couple of times. He reappeared over 6f at Doncaster at the beginning of the month and despite being up with the leaders for most of the way, he faded to finish in midfield. That effort should have put him spot-on for today and with the drop to 5f in his favour Confessional should go close to ending his losing streak.

Next up is the day's negative which comes in the 14:00 at Fontwell, a 2m2f Novices' Hurdle where Ninfea has eased in the market out to 3.02/1 from 2.588/5. An average performer on the flat, she has shown a liking for jumping in her three starts to date. She has improved on each start culminating in a good victory last time out over course and distance and she should have more to come. The main worry today is the rain-softened ground which she never really appreciated on the Flat, beaten comprehensively on the three occasions when soft appeared in the going. There are also a couple of improvers to contend with and she may find one or two of those too good this time.

Our final selection runs at Ayr in the 2m Handicap Chase at 16:35, where there has been decent money for Kai Broon who has shortened in to 2.3411/8 from 2.89/5. Twice a winner from five starts this season, this 5yo is going in the right direction judged on his victory at Kelso last time out. He was never really extended that day, and although he has been given a 10lb hike in the weights, with that being only his second chase start the likelihood is there will be more to come over the bigger obstacles and he is taken to follow up today.

Recommended Bets
Back Confessional @ 4.77/2 in the 13:35 at Newbury
Lay Ninfea @ 3.02/1 Fontwell 14:00
Back Kai Broon @ 2.3411/8 Ayr 16:35

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