Today's Follow The Money comes from Ascot and Chester...
It's King George day at Ascot so inevitably our Follow The Money selections today are weighted towards Ascot's fantastic mid-summer showpiece. We must wait for the closing mile and a half handicap at 17:35 for the key negative though, namely Opposition. Ed Dunlop's gelding was backed at [2.13] when the market was taking shape, but now [3.05] is readily available. His latest reverse is easily forgiven as the company was simply too hot, but having gained his first win from a mark of 69, he now operates from a lofty perch of 84. His latest win at Newmarket was gained in a three runner affair from Juste Pour Nous, who has failed to score in five subsequent runs. Opposition was getting 4lbs when they met, and a collateral reading of the form suggests he is now harshly treated.
Our each-way selection comes in the Ascot 15:20, a Class 2 1m handicap for three year olds. Lots of decent colts and geldings take their chance, but a filly at the foot of the weights is garnering plenty of market attention. Hughie Morrison's Pirouette is on a roll having won her last two starts, and punters expecting the hat-trick have forced her price down from [9.75] to [7.4]. The form of her first victory has worked out exceptionally well, and she followed up in style just over a fortnight ago at Doncaster. This represents a stiffer assignment, but with a feather weight on her back this improving filly can make her presence felt.
Our back selection comes in the 14:50 at Chester, where an eye-catching jockey booking is translating into market confidence for Golden Glimmer. Trainer Tom Dascombe is renowned for doing well at Chester, but the fact he has recruited top southern-based jockey Martin Harley for rides at the Cheshire venue is interesting. The filly is a course winner earlier this season and ran with real credit in warmer company at Ascot recently. With conditions to suit and a draw that should prove beneficial given her attacking run style, a move from [5.0] to [4.1] looks significant.
Lay Opposition @ [3.05] in the 17:35 at Ascot
Back Pirouette each-way @ [7.4] in the 15:20 at Ascot
Back Golden Glimmer @ [4.1] in the 14:50 at Chester
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Follow The Money P/L - June 2016
Profit on month: 2.39pts