Today's Follow The Money focuses on the jumps meetings at Bangor.
"Cape Caster looks to be running off a good mark today and looks an improving type. The market confidence suggests he will run a big race and we fully expect him to see him in the winners' enclosure today."
We begin with our negative selection. Belami Des Pictons has been a rather uneasy favourite in the 14:10 at Bangor, drifting from 1.564/7 out to 1.774/5 for this three-horse race. He ran well on his first outing in this country, staying on well at the end to win a novice hurdle at Warwick over two miles. Today's extra three furlongs puts him in unknown territory and we think he will have a tough task this afternoon against the well-supported Tjongejongee - another French import, who has had two outings for his new yard. The most recent of these was a Grade 2 at Sandown over today's distance and he appears to be well regarded by his connections with good support on the exchange this morning.
The each-way selection that takes our eye is in the 15:45 at Bangor where Fear Glic has been a warm order all morning, his price contracting from 18.017/1 in to 11.5021/2. This ten year-old gelding has only had one outing over fences - at Exeter in January - and although it was a disappointing effort, the heavy going that day was an obvious inconvenience and his jockey let him come home in his own time. He is best judged on his form over better ground (it is riding soft today), most notably when winning a Chepstow handicap hurdle in April 2014 where he beat Cocktails At Dawn by over three lengths. The Exeter race was his first after an 18 month absence and we can see him stripping a lot fitter in today's contest and will not be surprised to seeing him reach the frame this afternoon.
We stay at Bangor for our win bet of the day, where Cape Caster is a very interesting runner in the 16.20 race. The Evan Williams-trained five-year-old was a smart performer on the flat and was successful on his first attempt over hurdles - a novice event at Ffos Las. Although he is yet to add to that victory we feel he will take all the beating this afternoon. His latest race was a Newcastle handicap hurdle in February, where he ran respectably to finish fifth to Zaidiyn, having been outpaced on the run to the line. Cape Caster looks to be running off a good mark today and looks an improving type. The market confidence suggests he will run a big race and we fully expect him to see him in the winners' enclosure today.
Lay Belami Des Pictons @ 1.774/5 in the 14:10 at Bangor
Back Fear Glic each-way @ 11.521/2 in the 15:45 at Bangor
Back Win Cape Caster @ 3.9 in the 16:20 at Bangor
Follow The Money bring you their three best bets every day on Betting.Betfair.
Follow The Money P/L, February
Staked: 87 pts
Returned: 91.7 pts
P/L: + 4.7 pts
For February, calculated before commission, based on prices at time of publication