Newmarket's card is tough and though it promises above-average returns, a daring approach makes more sense than an expensive, cautious passage.
"If, as projected, he is allowed the lead again Make It Up should be thereabouts."
14:00 - This opening maiden perhaps lacks the depth you'd expect for the time of year. You'd fancy if any of the newcomers from the better yards were well-regarded they'd be shorter by this stage. That they aren't gives us blessing to bank on Mohatem, who shaped so well in a good race at Doncaster on debut, though it does mean that he is favourite and will carry plenty of the pool.
14:35 - With favourite Prince Gagarin a non-starter after shaping as though amiss in the Acomb last time, we need two in this nursery. Orlando Rogue has most in his favour. He got better by the run in maidens, has seemingly not been given full credit for that in the judgement of the BHA handicapper and promises to be suited by this longer trip. Much the same can be said of Lanwade Lad, though he has already tried a mile and saw it out well.
15:10 - We're close to selecting a banker in this, as Der Meister has so much in his favour and will likely show it should he get a clearer run than at Sandown last time. Still, there's just enough lingering doubt. Therefore Oasis Fantasy, proven to be consistent and likely to derive some benefit from the slightly stiffer test at the trip, comes in as backup.
15:40 - With eight runners and a favourable pace forecast, we're tempted to go fishing outside off-stump with Make It Up in the Somerville Tattersall Stakes. He is making a first appearance in Group races, which is presumably why he isn't closer to favouritism. His form is as strong as any of his rivals here, especially his win at Goodwood last time which reads well on the company and time recorded, for all it was a little tactical. If, as projected, he is allowed the lead again Make It Up should be thereabouts.
16:15 - With the only horse of proven Group class, Times Up, seemingly on the downgrade Pallasator looks the way to go in this listed contest. To finish fourth in the Ebor off a mark of 107 is a fine effort, one of Group quality. The only caveat is that you may want to watch out for him getting excitable, as he did in Ireland last time.
16:50 - The race with a number of exposed handicappers is the most difficult, as it turns out. This is very much a safety-first race, nudging a quick single to reach the century. Billingsgate comes here following an improved effort at Kempton, getting back onto that path after a solitary blip at Ascot the time before. The same can be said of Master of The World, who doesn't have the recent miscue but perhaps isn't progressing quite as sharply.
14:00 - 7
14:35 - 4, 6
15:10 - 5, 12
15:40 - 4
16:15 - 3
16:50 - 3, 5
= 8 lines