A significant Jackpot rollover leads us to Newmarket on Wednesday.
"Dark Kingdom has been very fortunate to be able to run in a 0-75 for his first handicap, even under top weight. He’s simply better than this level."
13:30 - It's simply winners we're after here; finesse is welcome, but not always necessary. Promising debuts from Pamona and Wardat Dubai, both at this course, put them at the head of the market and top of our list, too. Both have pedigree and connections that's equal to any of their rivals, so we're fairly confident that the lurking threats are minimal.
14:00 - We're in agreement with the market's direction this morning: Dark Kingdom has been very fortunate to be able to run in a 0-75 for his first handicap, even under top weight. He's simply better than this level. In fact, we're putting him forward as a banker selection.
14:35 - This is the first leg in which we think there's a seam to mine away from the very top of the betting. Granted, Outback Ruler could be heading for favouritism given morning money, but he isn't there yet. It seems that others have noticed the promise of his top-10 finish (which is perhaps even better than that implies given he was hampered) in a valuable sales race at the Curragh in the context of a 0-75 nursery. He's shown his worth on testing ground, too.
Steal The Scene goes in as well. He'll stay seven furlongs and may even be suited by it, while his finishing position last time tells nothing like the fully story. Previous promise is far more pertinent where he's concerned, though the betting doesn't fully agree.
15:10 - Had this race been over a mile rather than seven furlongs, we'd have been totally confident in Alnashama and Bollihope getting the job done between them. As it is we're only slightly more concerned and not by enough to complicate our perm by looking elsewhere, especially when we'd be looking at debutants.
15:45 - It'd take a spectacular upsurge in form to see Henryhudsonbridge win this, though the other three have realistic chances. If we were to exclude any of Algaith, Fannaan and Hawkesbury it would probably be the last-named, though his high level of form achieved means he really must go in.
16:20 - Tempus Temporis is definitely the first name down in this closing maiden. He'll surely prove better for his debut four weeks ago, when he was evidently inexperienced, while he's bound to have no problem with any increased emphasis on stamina in these conditions.
Racing History is something of an elephant in the room. He's a short-priced debutant, though we have to concede that a brother to Farhh and other useful winners is a better prospect than Mythical City, the horse that just misses out on a place.
NB for those looking for a slimmer initial outlay, it's recommended to go it alone with Tempus Temporis in the last leg and play accordingly should we reach that stage.
13:30 - 8, 15
14:00 - 1
14:35 - 1, 2
15:10 - 1, 3
15:45 - 1, 2, 3
16:20 - 8, 12
= 48 lines