The first day of the Northumberland Plate meeting is likely to yield the biggest Placepot pool on Thursday, and Timeform suggest you make the following selections...
"Though the body of evidence isn’t especially large, it all points to Baraweez being one we can rely on."
14:30 - With only two places available and no clear hierarchy behind him, favourite Aktabantay makes most sense in the opening maiden. He's been given a bit of time since failing to come on from his debut, though he again finished second in maiden company and any progress to come ought to see him in the first two again.
15:00 - The market in this maiden is even less clear, though for Placepot purposes there looks only one way to go: with a couple of those prominent in the betting making their debuts, Danny O'Ruairc, who shaped so well on his own debut (over C&D), can go forward then he's more likely than not to make the first three and see us through.
15:30 - Though the body of evidence isn't especially large, it all points to Baraweez being one we can rely on. He responds well and, with one small exception, has progressed by the run since joining the Brian Ellison yard. A mile on ground with some 'good' in the description really ought to be within his means (his first win in Britain came under similar conditions) and he's a natural choice for a banker in a race that still contains eight runners.
16:00 - This is a very difficult handicap. Entihaa presents himself as a sensible Placepot selection having finished out of the places only once this year and being proven under the conditions, though he's exposed and not one you'd like to use as a sole weapon. Rayadour arguably represents the next best; he translated springtime improvement over hurdles to a win on his return to the Flat earlier this month and has always been the type to keep his form going once he finds it. Ground conditions (best form on good or softer) are the only mild concern in his case.
16:30 - This 15-runner event is a more obviously difficult leg to negotiate. Starting with Elizabeth Coffee makes sense, her profile this year consistent so far and questions over the suitability to conditions more than satisfied. Gadobout Dancer is a little more risky. His selection requires a certain interpretation of his last run, that being that he's now getting on the up for the Keith Dalgleish yard. If that's the case he's the likeliest winner, let alone one for the places.
17:00 - We finish as we started- with a necessary banker on the likely favourite. Among this field none are as consistent as Corton Lad, who has been a creditable third on both starts since his reappearance. His adaptability regards trip and ground were exhibited in 2013, as was further proof of his reliable character, so he's in many ways an ideal Placepot sort.
14:30 - 4
15:00 - 2
15:30 - 9
16:00 - 1, 7
16:30 - 7, 15
17:00 - 2
= 4 lines