Musselburgh Placepot: Sunday September 29

Sunday's Placepot comes from Musselburgh

Musselburgh looks the more appealing of today's two UK cards from a Placepot perspective...

"With doubts over most of the field, including favourite Alcaeus, this is a tricky leg. Our best options appear to be Muntasir and Cosmic Sun."

14:00 - At the risk of suffering the ignominy of a first-leg exit, we're going to advise a banker in leg one. There are three places up for grabs at the time of writing and it would be disappointing were White Flag not to make it into one of them. Her run-by-run progress has apparently been down to increasing professionalism, with her comfortable win in a Redcar maiden last time suggesting there's still more to come. A BHA mark of 61 leaves her with plenty of room to manoeuvre should those impressions be reflected in reality.

14:30 - Under normal circumstances, Major Surprise would make most sense as a banker, as he has greater experience than form-pick Wealth and has been consistent in his three starts. However, with the lurking danger of a well-bred Mark Johnston newcomer (Maracuja) and only two places available, Wealth gets the nod instead as it's expected that he'll have Major Surprise's measure.

15:00 - Again, on another day we might have played with a bit more finesse in this three-year-old handicap, but the case for Future Reference is just too strong and we'll take the consolation of another cheap leg. The selection has been improving by the run pretty much right through 2013 and, given both his pedigree and the manner of his success last time, ought to continue in the same vein.

15:35 - Unfortunately, we can't get away from another likely favourite in leg four, with Elle Woods by the most consistent performer among these fillies. However, Light Rose is selected alongside her in hope of an upset. Light Rose has a running style which ought to suit Musselburgh and is proven over a mile (and further), so she goes in racing off the same mark she carried to a runner-up spot at Wolverhampton last time.

16:10 - With doubts over most of the field, including favourite Alcaeus, this is a tricky leg. Our best options appear to be Muntasir and Cosmic Sun. Godolphin's Montasir struggled earlier in the season but came back to form last time. Given the way so many of his stablemates go through a year, it's more likely than not that he'll be able to hold it together now he's found some late-season form. Cosmic Sun is similarly well-handicapped and, bar a couple of excusable poor runs peppered through the year, is holding it together and might have a race run to suit his style today.

16:45 - With nothing else in this eight-runner field having a profile to strongly recommend them, the most logical course remaining is to close with a banker on Plunder. His improvement to win at Wolverhampton last time seemed to come from nowhere, but there's little reason to doubt it and a rise of 2 lb looks generous when you consider the wider context of the victory. 

14:00 - 5
14:30 - 3
15:00 - 1
15:35 - 3, 8
16:10 - 3, 7
16:45 - 7

= 4 lines  

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