17:45 - Were this likely to be a more lucrative pool, we'd probably select a couple in the opening maiden, especially with the field now down to seven. However, the only thing Upper Grosvenor doesn't stand out on is professionalism, his form and potential in advance of anything his rivals can muster, so with the prevailing philosophy of keeping it tight we're going to bank on him.
18:15 - Stagemanship and Jellyfish stand out on form, both being well-bred maiden winners who both really ought to end up better than their current BHA marks. It's unfortunate that they are just as prominent in the betting, but we can pick our battles elsewhere.
18:45 - We're going to have to be a bit more speculative here, as few of these three-year-olds have an established, consistent profile to boast of. Landau, for example, has had only one run outside of maidens, but he's looked like one with more to offer all along and gave the greatest indication yet when isolated from the main action at Chepstow last time. He'll also be suited by this longer trip. Lybica belongs in much the same category as Stagemanship and Jellyfish, but her gradually-progressive profile and course form make her difficult to ignore in a trappy field.
19:15 - We're going to ignore clear market leader Calon Lad in leg four, instead opting for Ebony Roc and Zhuba. Ebony Roc is an obvious alternative to the favourite, having a couple of good runs on the all-weather to his name already this year and backing that up with a sound effort at Chepstow last time. Zhuba is a more risky selection, but there are excuses (cheekpieces/drop in trip) for a rare flop last time and this distance should pose him far fewer problems.
19:45 - It's well worth focussing on the pair with form- namely Dancing Sands and Psychometry- in this fillies' maiden. There's every chance the well-bred Godolphin charge Dancing Sands will end up the better horse, but at this stage Psychometry's form has a more robust look to it (runner-up on both starts) and she gets the nod as a banker in the penultimate leg.
20:15 - This is quite a closely-contested handicap for fillies, but even so we can wheedle a banker out of it. Trucanini has been very difficult to fault this year, winning twice and having excuses when she didn't on the other two occasions. She won a C&D event last time to boot, so there appear to be no barriers to another bold showing this evening.
17:45 - 2
18:15 - 1, 2
18:45 - 5, 11
19:15 - 2, 7
19:45 - 9
20:15 - 2
= 8 lines
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