Carlisle Placepot: Tuesday July 22

Evening racing comes from Carlisle on Tuesday
Evening racing comes from Carlisle on Tuesday

Of the day's Flat meetings, Carlisle looks the more realistic Placepot assignment.

"Jacob Black has a bit to prove starting off in handicaps having been harshly dealt with for winning an ordinary maiden, so he’s left out."

18:10 - Leg one lends itself to such an obvious line that it almost renders this Placepot perm a five-legger. Teruntum Star has the form (second at York on debut), pedigree (related to smart/useful winners) and peripheral clues (entered in the Gimcrack) of one who'll prove very tough to beat in a Carlisle maiden on a Tuesday evening.

18:40 - This is a weak race as far as the Placepot goes, with few truly reliable types. Kirtling Belle pretty much stands alone in that regard, consistent and, if anything, inching forward this season after a sharpening reappearance. Manatee Bay is the best backup option as he tends to give his running when circumstances allow, the fact they do so only about half the time something of an occupational hazard in sprinting.

19:10 - This is another tricky contest from our point of view. Secret Applause is the most consistent, though his mark is yet to come down to one from which we can be fully confident he'll make the first two. Another Royal looks to have more scope from a handicapping perspective though has hinted at a few kinks up to now. Between them we have quite a few eventualities covered.

19:40 - This maiden is a shootout between Muhawalah and Potent Embrace. You could choose either or and feel confident of getting through, though we're going to come down on Muhawalah as our sole choice. She has looked of iffy temperament, which is probably the reason she's ceded favouritism to Potent Embrace, though her overall consistency and form is far superior. That's more important in the Placepot realm.

20:10 - Jacob Black has a bit to prove starting off in handicaps having been harshly dealt with for winning an ordinary maiden, so he's left out. Naoise comes with some quirks, but had found a good patch of form in his later starts with Jim Bolger and there's no reason he can't continue on that path for Ollie Pears. Hard Core Debt goes in, too. He's consistent of late and ought to benefit from this return to shorter after failing to see out nine furlongs last time. The fact that that run came just five days ago is the only snag.

20:40 - We can have more faith in Mrs Warren, who's had a five-week break since her recent success, giving her running than Sugar Town, who ran just a week ago and carries a penalty for winning a weaker race, so it's Mrs Warren who makes more sense as our last-leg banker.

18:10 - 3
18:40 - 2, 4
19:10 - 4, 6
19:40 - 5
20:10 - 5, 6
20:40 - 1

= 8 lines  


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