Bath Jackpot: Thursday May 29

There's a sizeable rollover at Bath
There's a sizeable rollover at Bath

With six figures rolling over to Bath's Jackpot our attention can fall nowhere else on Thursday.

"The theory runs that, on this card, the maidens will be the places to keep the lines down."

14:00 - Leg one looks to be one of the tougher assignments, so being too proud to go out here would only lead to needless expense. Still, we want to throw a few darts in order to give ourselves a chance and on that basis Khee Society and Mister Mayday, both closing in on a victory and fitted with headgear here, get in straight away. We're also going to take one of the handicap debutants, with Scariff Hornet the likeliest in that group for all she'll have to improve markedly on the bare form of her maidens. In her case, a sound pedigree and the booking of Richard Hughes make the loudest noise.

14:30 - Though Last Minute Lisa is interesting, her poor win record combined with a likely large chunk of the 'fresh' pool is enough to put us off. Devote Myself gets in despite a strike-rate nearly as ordinary, the fact she finished so close last time on her first start for John Flint despite helping to force a strong pace drawing us her way. Benandonner is another who ranks highly on recent promise; though his has come on the all-weather he'll be tough to keep away from the finish if able to bring that back to turf. Finally we reach for Silvee, very much an all-or-nothing sort who gets in on a lenient mark compared with last time, when she finished little more than two lengths back from 10 lb out of the weights.

15:00 - The theory runs that, on this card, the maidens will be the places to keep the lines down. This first contest obliges. Principle Equation has the correct blend of promising pedigree and solid debut form that gives her at least a coin-flip's chance of winning this maiden second time up.

15:30 - A slightly lesser test than when he was narrowly denied by a lightly-raced sort last time ought to see New Decade go close, especially considering the rapport he has struck up with Oisin Murphy in just a couple of starts together. Ladweb has won his last two starts, the more recent on ground similar to today's reported conditions, so he makes it in as second selection.

16:00 - Unfortunately maiden number two isn't quite so tractable as the first. There can be strong cases made for four of them, with debutante Star Pursuits the only one we can discount from our calculations. Among the others precedence is given to experience and speed, the latter either implied by pedigree or demonstrated on the track. By those measures, Union Rose and River Spirit make the most appeal.

16:30 - By the time we reach leg six we're 36 lines strong already, making the minimum outlay £18. Were we to double up in the final leg we'd be demanding at least £36, which may price some out. Better to bank, we say, especially as the backup lay is much simpler with Jackpot compared with the Placepot. Defector Black Minstrel would have been perfect, though we'll have to make do with Shades of Grey, who appears to have perfect conditions today to go with what's very nearly a career-low mark. Those wanting a second are pointed in the direction of Ivor's Princess, who looks ready for this trip now.

Selections:

14:00 - 3, 4, 5
14:30 - 9, 12, 16
15:00 - 12
15:30 - 1, 10
16:00 - 1, 8
16:30 - 2

= 36 lines

 

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