Ayr Placepot: Saturday September 20

It's Gold Cup day at Ayr
It's Gold Cup day at Ayr

The theory runs that the Gold and Silver Cups will make this a Placepot well worth winning. Ready yourself for a big perm with small unit stakes.

"Two of David O’Meara’s three runners, namely Watchable and Highland Acclaim, bring the idea profile to the Ayr Gold Cup..."

13:30 - We're going to need a couple to get through this nursery for a start. Neither Richard Fahey charge has tried this mile trip yet, though Jumeirah Glory and Gabrial The Viking are hardly alone in that regard and both come here as improvers. Both are long odds on to stay the distance and neither looks on a harsh mark, Jumeirah Glory in particular still on a good mark raised just 4 lb for his win last time.

14:05 - Even though we're prepared for a big perm, it's still desirable to sneak through a couple of legs cheaply and the Firth of Clyde Stakes looks one of the better opportunities. Ainippe was sent off favourite for the Flying Childers last week and though she was a little disappointing in fifth there, previous form means she still sets the standard here. The step up to six furlongs is likely to suit, too.

14:40 - A deep breath before we plunge into the Ayr Silver Cup. Redvers is our first choice, seeing as he's a hard-bitten veteran of these races who has built up a fairly consistent record, more consistent than his overall record this year would imply. Arctic Feeling got the worst of the draw last week at the Curragh and has ostensibly wound up in the wrong place again, though keeping the low numbers covered is a good idea (the draw bias probably isn't as entrenched as some are making out) and he is head among them, being in the form of his life. At the other end of the street, Huntsmans Close in stall 27 boasts one of the most consistent recent profiles in the field and isn't as strictly handicapped as a run of placed efforts suggests.

15:15 - Both of our selections in the Doonside Cup come here following poor efforts- in the same race- and both are excused on the same grounds. Sennockian Star finished a place behind Gabrial at Chester last week but if anything we prefer him, his consistency at 10 furlongs standing in sharp contrast to his regular failures over longer trips. Gabrial doesn't stay a mile and a half either and his run at Chester did enough to suggest he's in form for this return to more suitable distances.

15:50 - Two of David O'Meara's three runners, namely Watchable and Highland Acclaim, bring the idea profile to the Ayr Gold Cup, that of consistent recent improvement. Watchable has been mixing it in handicaps of this stripe for much of the summer, breaking through on his return to six furlongs at the Curragh last weekend. Highland Acclaim is relatively new to the scene but came within little more than a neck of winning at Ascot last time after a slow start, while you fancy the he too will do better for dropping back to six furlongs.

Those two cover the low- and mid-drawn horses. The odds are slightly in favour of the high-drawn horses coming out best, whether on merit or some dubious but self-fulfilling bias. The problem is that we can't really find just one in that group. Heaven's Guest is the best option, fourth in this race last year and having valid excuses on his last two starts. We wouldn't be confident going with him alone, though, and Fast Shot is taken as backup. He started the season in fine form and hasn't been as disappointing on his last two starts as bare results suggest. He was drawn on the wrong side in the Wokingham and might well have needed the run in the Great St Wilfrid.

16:25 - A banker in the last leg? After we've come this far? It sounds reckless, though Top of The Glas is banker material having barely put a foot wrong for Brian Ellison so far, plus he's returning to a trip that will suit. See it as a saving. Besides, with it being the last leg there's also the option of laying him for a place as insurance.

Selections:
13:30 - 5, 7
14:05 - 1
14:40 - 3, 23, 24
15:15 - 2, 5
15:50 - 5, 12, 25, 27
16:25 - 10

= 48 lines

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