Ayr looks to balance difficulty with lack of expense on a day when the pools aren't expected to be enormous.
"After nearly nine weeks off there’s a valid question over whether Itstimeforapint will be fit. To see this is his first, long-overdue try at three miles you have to conclude that he will be."
13:20 - There's very little hurdling form to go on in this maiden and what there is serves to rule out those horses with it; they've generally looked limited. Chidswell is almost certainly the best prospect in the field and goes in for all he's been off for virtually a year since winning a bumper. The second-best would probably be Coozan George, who offered quite a bit in bumpers and should be fitter for an admittedly subdued effort a couple of weeks back.
13:50 - Hurricane Hollow deserves to be shorter than he is given his bumper form and taking debut over hurdles. Whether that translates to a smaller slice of the Placepot pool than he deserves isn't as obviously for certain, but he's a banker for us anyway given the experience edge he holds over others.
14:20 - Degooch's run last time is difficult to take seriously, so we look elsewhere. Our best line of attack looks to be doubling up on the unreliable-but-fit Claragh Native and the more reliable, but possibly unfit Prosecco.
14:50 - Eight runners makes this race primed for a banker. Blue Kascade is the most interesting runner, but we need more of a safety net than he provides having not been seen since the spring. Everylasting is a better option in that regard. He's a sound jumper and has been given a bit more time since his last run so could be ready to firm up his win at Sedgefield last month.
15:20 - After nearly nine weeks off there's a valid question over whether Itstimeforapint will be fit. To see this is his first, long-overdue try at three miles you have to conclude that he will be. He's more than likely better than 0-100s and therefore goes in as a banker.
15:50 - This is a very closely-contested handicap. We can't get away with a banker, though Presenting Junior comes close. He's been running well through the summer and still looks fairly handicapped ahead of the winter horses coming out. Water Garden is a little more of a wild card, having shaped well on both starts this season five months apart and now race-fit for the first time in his spell with this yard.
13:20 - 2, 4
13:50 - 1
14:20 - 3, 5
14:50 - 7
15:20 - 1
15:50 - 3, 8
= 8 lines