Aintree Placepot: Sunday October 27

Sunday's Placepot comes from Aintree

Aintree's Placepot ought to pay the better of today's meetings. Keith Melrose tries a relatively cheap approach...

"If we’re going to take advantage of a good dividend we need to take a risk somewhere, and leg five is where that risk will come."

13:00 - Memberof stands out in the opening juvenile, certainly for our purposes. Experienced and boasting decent form from his hurdling debut in France (beat a subsequent winner into second), he's since joined Alan King, whose fine record with juveniles is a long-standing one.

13:30 - Again, there's nothing too original in this leg, by force as much as anything else. Those with experience over fences are given precedence, and of those only Susquehanna River is really worth a place in our perm. In fact, his record is so strong up to now that he goes in as a banker.

14:05 - We're faced with another leg in which few can be taken seriously as Placepot horses. Ely Brown is definitely the most interesting. He won this race last year, took another Pertemps Qualifier at Warwick in January and finished sixth in the Final at Cheltenham. He teams up with a 10-lb claimer here and given the form of his yard ought to be ready. Orsippus goes in second. He seemed not to get three miles at Haydock in May, but he'd been ridden forcefully that day and if he's handled more patiently this time ought to be okay over this sharp course on ground that isn't too testing.

14:40 - Leg four is also one that has been reduced from eight to seven and with it three available places to two. In this case our approach probably won't differ: Eastlake and Anay Turge are the most likely sort for our purposes. The Jonjo O'Neill-trained Eastlake was running consistently well in the second half of 2012/13 and has shown on several occasions that he can go well fresh. Anay Turge had been running earlier in the summer, steadily improving all the while, and should be sharper for his recent spin over hurdles.

15:15 - If we're going to take advantage of a good dividend we need to take a risk somewhere, and leg five is where that risk will come. Neither Ruacana nor Crowning Jewel are at the head of the betting, but there's a case to be made for both. Ruacana still hasn't had much racing over hurdles and is bound to stay this trip (would have stayed well on Flat). Crowning Jewel put up a career-best effort over two miles in April seemingly in spite of the trip and, if fit returning from a subsequent absence, possibly has more to offer back up in trip.

15:50 - Leg six also gives us a chance to take on a favourite. Spirit of Shankly has generally looked a useful prospect, but he has bled in the past which is reason enough for us to pass on him. Also, instead of taking a couple of promising bumper winners, we're going to try Revocation and Wakanda as our selections. Both have joined good northern yards from Ireland and probably have more improvement to come, both for current connections and this longer trip. 

13:00 - 2
13:30 - 4
14:05 - 5, 7
14:40 - 3, 7
15:15 - 2, 4
15:50 - 1, 3

= 16 lines

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