20:10 Kempton - Time has come for Glan Y Gors
I've contemplated including Glan Y Gors in this column before, and I certainly recall him making a shortlist. He lines up in the 0-90 handicap over 2m at Kempton on Wednesday night, and this looks one of the more interesting races on the day.
Firstly the factors in his favour; and his two runner-up positions at Wolverhampton and Chelmsford (both over tonight's distance). His effort at Dunstall Park came after a muddling pace, whilst the last run at the Essex venue involved him staying well from off the pace. And as I always say no matter the trip at Chelmsford - I don't like horses held up there. So we have excuses for two runs.
He is lightly-raced, and certainly has scope from his mark of 88 considering he was rated 2lb higher last term. And I think he'll be a better horse over these sorts of staying trips.
Other factors include the form of the trainer David Simcock (although it done me no favours with Loose Ends on Monday), and the return of the hood. Therefore he can go well against some solid older horses - but not unbeatable ones.
20:40 Kempton - Feel the warmth with Winter House
Saeed bin Suroor's Winter House is a horse with immense promise - but he produced a catalogue of horrors at Redcar in the Zetland Gold Cup on his most recent appearance. So scrambled was that performance one could label it almost Keaton-esque.
He may have been sent off at 11/4, but he never consented to go a yard. Therefore there's a fair degree of risk here. He wore cheekpieces for the first time at Redcar, he now runs in the visor.
Those are the negatives and he's hard work. Think about a higher price in-play.
On the plus side, you may recall him winning the Wood Ditton in 2015 - beating none other than Group 2 winner and 119-rated Exosphere. He was green then, and was also green on his reappearance this season when finishing with a flourish on handicap debut at Lingfield behind Dutch Uncle - and that was a good race.
He shapes like he'll relish this step up in trip to 1m4f, and on pedigree as a full brother to Khawlah (who was 2-2 on the all-weather), there's every chance he will be even better for the switch to an artificial surface. I also think the way he finishes should suit Kempton perfectly as a strong closer.
The talent is there, but he needs to focus on his game. Winter House has already been gelded, so there's nothing else left to go.
Wednesday's Recommended Bets
Back Glan Y Gors @ 6.806/1 in the 20:10 at Kempton
Back Winter House @ 5.204/1 in the 20:40 at Kempton