16:20 Ayr - Candy's filly can provide sweet success
On the frustration scale, this week would be around a 58. Yesterday's second was matched at 1.351/3 in-running, to go with a 1.051/20 and a 1.251/4 this week - to add to the four in the previous seven day stint. So I'm looking to spin the corner with optimism on Wednesday. And who better to turn to than Henry Candy.
The first pick is a really tough filly who lines up in the Ayr feature - the Listed race for fillies and mares.
Chain Of Daisies was ultra-progressive last term, winning four races culminating in a success at this level at Newmarket. That was on good to soft towards the end of the campaign - but she is best suited by fast ground - with three wins on rattling turf.
She's a big filly too and really fills the eye, and down the line the target will be Group races I am sure. But so fast was her improvement last term - she can continue that with her first run of the season, and she's in good hands with Candy.
I would also keep an eye on David O'Meara's Loaves And Fishes - she will like the surface and she's with the right trainer to unlock a return to form.
19:25 Kempton - Big year for Lanigan runner starts on Wednesday
This is the best race of the night at Kempton, and some of the big Newmarket yards are represented here with the likes of Sir Michael Stoute, Luca Cumani and James Fanshawe.
However, one of the army of potential improving horses in this line-up is David Lanigan's Almodovar - he races from a mark of 93.
2015 was very much a learning curve for this son of Sea The Stars. He won a couple of races at Leicester and Ayr, and finished second at Pontefract over 1m4f. He hung at the latter and threw his race away, he was coltish in Scotland before the contest, and he was massively outpaced in the Midlands - so the fact he scored twice highlights his natural ability.
Whilst Group 1 entries for the Eclipse and Prince Of Wales's are eye-popping, they don't really mean an awful lot until he produces something really decent.
Lanigan has stated he is very much a horse for this term (even though he held a St Leger entry last season), and he's a big strapping sort too. He has been gelded, and mentally I am hoping he is 'with it' for his seasonal reappearance with George Baker on board.
Wednesday's Recommended Bets (both half point)
Back Chain Of Daisies @ 8.07/1 in the 16:20 at Ayr
Back Almodovar @ 6.806/1 in the 19:25 at Kempton