Bets of the Day: Modelingo looking good for back-to-back wins

Modelingo is capable of a career best today
Modelingo is capable of a career best today

Frustrating to find another non-runner this week, but as the weather changed at Chepstow there were 24 horses taken out. Today's selections "hopefully" run at Worcester and Bath...


"The handicapper has seen fit to put him up 8lbs for that success but Mr Stan Sheppard is taking 7lbs back off, negating that increase and giving him a featherweight to carry around here today."

Back Modeligo @ 4/1 in the 15:00 Worcester

15:00 Worcester - Modeligo @ 4/1 Sportsbook

Trainer Matt Sheppard's Modeligo won over fences at the sixth time of asking, when he beat Two Scoops (who runs in the 14:00 race today) by four and a half lengths. The handicapper has seen fit to put him up 8lbs for that success but today he has the assistance of upcoming jockey Mr Stan Sheppard, who is taking 7lbs back off, negating that increase and giving him a featherweight to carry around here. Sheppard is well worth his claim having ridden 13 winners over the past 12 months and is very much a leading amateur.

The main concern is how Modeligo will handle the faster conditions today as so far all his chase starts have been on soft or heavy going. However, he has won twice over hurdles on good ground and three of his four wins have been over today's distance. He is going to have to produce a career best to win this but he seems to be improving over fences and from the bottom of the handicap I think he could go well.


17:30 Bath - Dnaneer @ 3.7511/4 Exchange

William Knight runs his three-year-old filly Dnaneer in this over the minimum trip. She was a half length beaten favourite last time out at Wolverhampton, finishing second in her handicap debut to Fearbuster. She will have learnt plenty from that race and back on the turf she can go one better today. Martin Harley is up top again and he is riding well recently, with three winners and two seconds from his last 14 rides (21% strike rate).

Dnaneer could have been drawn better but she should still have the ability to beat these today off her low handicap mark. She just failed to catch the leader at Wolverhampton last time where she was staying on well at the end of the race. Hopefully she doesn't let them get too far ahead of her today and she can pick up the leaders in the final furlong.


Recommended Bets:

Back Modeligo @ 4/1 in the 15:00 Worcester
Back Dnaneer @ 3.7511/4 in the 17:30 Bath


Alan Thompson 2016 P&L

Carried Forward +22.75 pts

This week...

Staked: 11 pts (including today's bet)

Returned: 5.87 pts

Overall Profit/Loss: +17.62 pts

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