Horse Racing Tips

Bets of the Day: Lope Y Fernandez to come out best in a quality Vintage Stakes

Big Field at Goodwood
Their is plenty to enjoy on the first day of the festival

"He gets a chance to turn the tables on Pinatubo, who he re-opposes today"

Back Lope Y Fernandez @ 5/1 in the 14:25 at Goodwood

Both of Alan's selections finished second yesterday, but it's the start of Glorious Goodwood today and he has two fancies to get the festival off to a good start...

Aidan O'Brien's Lope Y Fernandez will have improved

14:25 Goodwood - Lope Y Fernandez

Royal Ascot runner up Lope Y Fernandez will represent Aidan O'Brien in what looks set to be a high class renewal of the Qatar Vintage Stakes. The well bred Lope De Vega colt created a smart impression when making a winning start at the Curragh last month and lost little in defeat when second to Pinatubo in the Chesham Stakes, who he re-opposes today. Today though, I think he could get the better of Charlie Appleby's unbeaten Godolphin runner, who is current ante-post favourite for the 2000 Guineas next year. I just think the Coolmore runner is open to more improvement and he is sure to have stepped forward since.

As well as having to turn the tables on Pinatubo, another with a good chance is the Andrew Balding trained Mystery Power, who has won both of his two starts to date. Most recently it was the Superlative Stakes at Newmarket (where he beat Subjectivist, a selection earlier this week), but he has to carry a 3lb penalty for that victory.

It's certainly a strong Vintage Stakes and possibly the best two-year-old race we have seen this year. At the prices, I want to be with Lope Y Fernandez, I just think he is open to more improvement and he is sure to have stepped forward since his defeat in the Chesham.

Savaanah has run well at Goodwood in the past

17:15 Goodwood- Savaanah

In the final race of the opening day, I like the look of Savaanah, who racked up a hat trick on turf last summer and she has not been disgraced in Listed company in both starts so far this campaign. She should find this drop in trip and class to her liking, and with Frankie Dettori booked to ride for the first time, a big run is anticipated back at a venue where she has run well in the past.

The selection looks to offer some value at around 13/2 and can get the better of what is likely to be a strong favourite, Salayel. She gained her only win to date in Dubai for Nicholas Bachalard and certainly made a very promising turf/stable/UK debut when running second at Newmarket earlier this month. However, she is up 6lbs and despite more to come that's a bit of a burden for the favourite in this company.

Recommended bets

2019 (prior to this week) : +14.76pts

This week so far...

Staked: 6 pts
Returned: 1.2 pts

2019 P&L +9.96pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts


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