Alan's best bet of the day Rebecca Rocks won at Windsor yesterday and his second selection was unfortunately a late non runner. Today he is looking to make it three winning days in a row with two more from Exeter and Huntingdon...
"He is also dropping in class after being beaten in a Class 2 handicap over course and distance and has every chance at these weights"
Dancing Shadow by all accounts isn't the easiest horse to ride or train but on his day he can be very good, Victor Dartnall's nine-year-old has won three races in total but just the one success over hurdles. He goes well after a break, his last two wins have come on the back of 57 and 199 day breaks so the 72 days away from the track before this race isn't a major concern. He is also dropping in class after being well beaten in a Class 2 handicap over course and distance and has every chance at these weights. If he can rediscover some of his previous form then this would be easily winnable.
There are two horses fighting for favouritism at the time of writing, Golden Sunrise for Colin Tizzard and Vodka All The Way for Phillip Hobbs, both are obviously from powerful stables and command respect but both horses have only run over this distance or longer once in their career, it was in the same race at Taunton in January, they were both beaten by over 20 lengths. Golden Sunrise's only win was over two miles two furlongs and Vodka All the Way is still a maiden, so I am not sure I would be wanting to take around 2/1 for either of them and my preference is for the "quirky" Dancing Shadow who has won twice over three mile or further.
Since moving from Dai Burchell to the Fergal O'Brien yard the 14-year-old Ratify has been nothing short of sensational winning three of his four starts for his new trainer. However, the eight time winning chaser is off top weight today and is plenty short enough in the market at 7/4 in what looks a tough handicap. I think he might struggle to give 11lbs to Ian Williams' lightly raced nine-year-old ex-pointer Glengra with Sean Bowen in the plate.
With just the 12 starts in total in point to points as well as over hurdles and fences he is yet to get his head in front but has recorded some decent placed efforts so far. Including putting in a very promising effort on his debut over fences at Doncaster where he finished second in a Novice Chase. Last time out he ran here over two miles seven furlongs and failed to see out the trip. Today he is dropped half a mile in trip and another 2lbs and is starting to look like he is off a much more winnable mark, I would much rather be with him at around 11/2 than take the favourite at a skinny price.
2018 Overall (prior to this week): +9.75 pts
This week so far...
Staked: 7 pts
Returned: 9.25 pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts