Bets of the Day: Vasco D'Ycy can be dangerous over this distance

Horses taking a fence
Vasco D'Ycy will strip fitter after his run at Ayr

It's been a bit of an up and down week for Alan but he is looking to finish his stint in the chair with a couple of winners from Carlisle and Chelmsford...

"his last four starts over this trip (or similar) have seen him finish 1,1,2,2 - this is his ideal trip"

Back Vasco D'Ycy @ 4/1 in the Carlisle 15:25

It's time for Vasco D'Ycy to win again

Carlisle 15:25

Julia Brooke ran her 10-year-old Vasco D'Ycy at Ayr last month after a 656 day break and he finished a very creditable third of eight starters. That pipe opener was over three miles off this mark, now race fit and dropping back to a distance he has won off twice in the past (two and a half miles), he can step up and claim his first win over fences.

The horse never ran at all in 2016, but then won twice for the yard over hurdles last year, Julia's son Henry Brooke takes the ride and knows the horse well, having ridden him on his previous two starts over fences since moving from Jedd O'Keeffe's yard. This horse's last four starts between two mile four furlongs and two miles six furlongs has produced form figures of 1,1,2,2 so this looks to be his ideal trip.

Some of his contenders are making their chasing debuts today, Helly Aa King has been running well enough over hurdles and is an obvious threat if he takes to fences but he hasn't managed to get his head in front after 10 starts over hurdles, so I think it's a big ask for him to do it at the first attempt over the larger obstacles at a short price. Magic Of Milan is another chasing debutant but has at least won before over hurdles, my concern though is that he was beaten 34 lengths on his last start and could only finish second when being sent off a very short odds-on chance the time before that. My preference today is for Vasco D'Ycy

Aircraft Carrier is looking to make it four in a row

Chelmsford 16:25

Aircraft Carrier has shown significant improvement lately, having won his last three in a row, including breaking the course record at Wolverhampton last time out over two miles. John Ryan has a progressive colt on his hands and it is of particular interest that this is Tom Queally's only ride of the night at the meeting. Despite the small field this is a competitive race though and the selection will have to be at his best to get the beating of the field.

Amade is an obvious threat having won his last four, three of those wins were in France though but he did win well at Kempton on his UK debut. But this is a more competitive assignment, and he has something to find at the weights. Grey Britain is another multiple winner but just came up a bit short in his bid for the hat-trick when third at Kempton last month and maybe his run has ended for now. A good race in prospect but I am going with Aircraft Carrier to get his head in front tonight.

2019 Overall: +3.75pts

This week so far...

Staked: 12 pts
Returned: 10.45 pts

2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts

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