Alan Dudman ends his latest seven days in the tipping chair, and signs off with a well-handicapped selection running at Stratford on Thursday evening....
"His trainer Charlie Mann has stated in the past he likes summer ground, and from a perch of 102, that is miles behind his peak rating as a novice hurdler - which was in the region of 135 a few years ago."
17:35 Yarmouth - Shoof to deliver on Donny promise
Trainer Ismail Mohammed's horses are in good nick at the moment, and Ban Shoof looks an interesting contender for the yard in the 1m1f handicap at 17:35.
As a half-brother to the stable's talented Educate, and a relation to Group 1 winner Somnus, he's had a bit of a patchy profile so far.
Earlier this year he landed his maiden at Wolves in quite tidy fashion, and the move he made before the straight when travelling wide past rivals was eye-catching. The race might not have been that strong. Subsequently he was found out in the Dee Stakes at 100/1.
The horse was gelded after that, but he came back well at Doncaster recently in a similar sort of handicap to today's. He finished fourth to Airton over 1m2f, and acted well on the quicker ground. He chased the pacesetter in that contest, and the winner, second and third all came from further back than Ban Shoof - and I didn't think he quite saw out the final furlong on that long run-in.
His relations enjoyed quick ground, and he is unexposed on good to firm. From a mark of 74 he should go well.
I'm hoping Victor Leudorum is the best case of nominative determinism on Thursday (a tremendous joke often aired regularly for us in the Latin-speaking community), and he looks one of the best-handicapped horses in this race. But now is the time for deeds not words (or facta non verba).
The nine-year-old isn't the biggest, which is probably why he struggled a bit over fences. Admittedly he ran in some fair races, but after some initial promise, his jumping was littered with errors and he could never really keep tabs on his opponents.
He has spent quite a long time in the wilderness, but showed a lot more recently when finishing second at Worcester. That came in a competitive 0-125 hurdle race, and he was seven lengths clear of the third. Today's race is only a 0-110, and he drops in grade with a back-to-form run.
His trainer Charlie Mann has stated in the past he likes summer ground, and from a perch of 102, that is miles behind his peak rating as a novice hurdler - which was in the region of 135 a few years ago.
As he is a smaller, nippier type, Stratford and quick ground should suit over this staying trip. Other dangers are Princess Roania - but she loves finishing second and might have a stamina doubt. Whilst Don McCain's Shantou Tiger is racing from a good mark too.
Thursday's Recommended Bets (both half point)
Back Ban Shoof @ 6.5011/2 in the 17:35 at Yarmouth
Back Victor Leudorum @ 5/1 in the 19:20 at Stratford
Weekly P/L: +2.80
Previous week: -4.80
2015 P/L: +20.14