Alan is looking to finish his stint in the chair with a couple of winners, he has two selections today from Towcester and the evening card at Kempton...
"Ben Case and his team are in good form at present and with conditions perfect, I think it is time he broke his maiden tag today"
This race looks a match bet between Henry Oliver's Doc Carver and Ben Case's Shanroe Saint and I think the market may have them the wrong way around. Doc Carver is certainly no mug and has finished second the last twice in a couple of decent races and an opening mark of 121 doesn't look to severe he is certainly respected but I think he may find one too good again today so my preference is for Shanroe Saint. If you are that way inclined betting Shanroe Saint to beat Doc Carver in a straight forecast may not be a bad way to increase your potential winnings.
Out of the prolific Saint Des Saints, Shanroe Saint is a six-year-old who produced a career best performance at Leicester last time out. He didn't win the race but he certainly caught the eye staying on well to finish a close third in the end. Unfortunately, the handicapper was also impressed by the performance and has upped him 3lbs for that run, which I don't think will be enough to anchor him. Ben Case and his team are in good form at present and with conditions perfect, I think it is time he broke his maiden tag today at the seventh attempt over timber.
If Jimmy Fox's five-year-old Graceful James could avoid trouble in running at this track then I am sure he would of already added to his one win from seven starts at this venue, he has certainly had plenty of bad luck here so hopefully today his luck will change and he can get his head in front again. He has to be held up and brought late and that running style has got him into all sorts of trouble in the past. However, last time out at Chelmsford he was doing his best work late over one mile and a quarter so today's extra furlong should help him find more time to pick his way through the field, he is also 1lb lower tonight than that Chelmsford run.
He is an each way price to be fair but personally I am not interested in backing him each way, his style of running means he will either be there with every chance of winning in the later stages or falling out the back of the TV. I am not saying he can't place and I wouldn't put anyone off backing him each way but I think he either wins or flops and will be staking him win only. He has the more than capable Kieran O'Neil in the plate to do the steering so with a bit of luck that you need in an eleven runner handicap lets hope he can show that extra bit of stamina that he has and pass them all in the closing stages.
2018 Overall (prior to this week): -4.25 pts
This week so far...
Staked: 14 pts
Returned: 20 pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts