Bets of the Day: The Lady can break Snookered's hat-trick attempt

Brian Hughes making his way home
Brian Hughes can steer Glorious Lady home at Sedgfield

Its back to the jumps action for Alan today with two selections from Sedgefield and Kempton...

"...making her handicap debut off a mark of 123 she looks off a very workable mark"

Back Glorious Lady @ 5/2 in the 16:40 Sedgefield

Glorious Lady looks to have a a good chance on handicap debut

16:40 Sedgefield - Glorious Lady

Keith Dalgleish's five-year-old mare Glorious Lady looks the one to be on here, she has already won a point, a bumper and a maiden hurdle in her short five race career. She wasn't beaten far last time out despite having to concede weight to a horse rated 125 when stepped up in trip at Kelso last time. She was only just caught late on in that race and making her handicap debut off a mark of 123 she looks off a very workable mark.

The danger is of course the short-priced favourite Snookered, who I am familiar with, having seen him bolt up on his last two starts here, the latest of which was on soft (and was my best bet of the day last time out).

However, it might be hard for him to get the hat-trick today after going up another 8lbs, he is also stepping up in trip and this looks a warmer contest than his previous two. Brian Ellison's five-year-old could hardly be in better form and I am sure he will go off in front again and probably trade shorter than he goes off at for any back-to-lay traders out there. But, I think it may be one race too many for him and at the prices much prefer Glorious Lady to get the better of him today.

Tidal Watch is due some good fortune and today is his day

15:50 Kempton - Tidal Watch

This looks a great opportunity for Tidal Watch to get off the mark over fences. Third on chase debut and traded at he minimum 1.011/100 when he had the race at his mercy, eight lengths clear of his rivals but fell at the last at Newton Abbot two starts ago. He was again unfortunate at Kelso, when he was only beaten by a well handicapped rival at Kelso. His luck has to change and he get in here on the same mark as that Kelso run. The third and fourth home at Kelso have also subsequently come out and won, franking that form, he is an improving horse and also has previous winning form at the track over hurdles, so for me that all makes the five-year-old the one to be with today.

The danger looks like being Snapdragon Fire who is a three-time winning hurdler but was far from straightforward on chase debut. He had a tendency to jump right throughout the race and had a chance to go past the leader on the run in but didn't suggesting he might not be genuine. Even though this track should suit him better than Southwell I still think he has plenty to find if he is upset Tidal Watch off this mark.

2019 (prior to this week) : +2.95pts

This week so far...

Staked: 4 pts
Returned: 3.75 pts

2019 P&L +2.95pts
2018 P&L +82.29pts
2017 P&L +53.30pts
2016 P&L +15.23pts

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